Intrepid Endurance Fund Price Prediction
| ICMZX Fund | USD 16.78 0.26 1.57% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
54
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Intrepid Endurance hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Intrepid Endurance Fund from the perspective of Intrepid Endurance response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Intrepid Endurance to buy its mutual fund at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Intrepid because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell mutual funds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Intrepid Endurance after-hype prediction price | USD 16.78 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Intrepid |
Intrepid Endurance After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Intrepid Endurance at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Intrepid Endurance or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Intrepid Endurance, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Intrepid Endurance Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Intrepid Endurance's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Intrepid Endurance's historical news coverage. Intrepid Endurance's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 15.91 and 17.65, respectively. We have considered Intrepid Endurance's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Intrepid Endurance is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Intrepid Endurance is based on 3 months time horizon.
Intrepid Endurance Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Intrepid Endurance is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Intrepid Endurance backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Intrepid Endurance, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
16.78 | 16.78 | 0.00 |
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Intrepid Endurance Hype Timeline
Intrepid Endurance is currently traded for 16.78. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Intrepid is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Intrepid Endurance is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 16.78. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.24. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Intrepid Endurance last dividend was issued on the 31st of December 1970. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Intrepid Endurance Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Intrepid Endurance Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Intrepid Endurance's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Intrepid Endurance's future price movements. Getting to know how Intrepid Endurance's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Intrepid Endurance may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ICMAX | Intrepid Endurance Fund | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 1.52 | (1.35) | 3.42 | |
| ICMVX | Intrepid Capital Fund | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.31 | (0.03) | 1.00 | (0.84) | 3.05 | |
| ICMBX | Intrepid Capital Fund | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.31 | (0.04) | 1.07 | (0.90) | 3.07 | |
| ICMUX | Intrepid Income Fund | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.92) | 0.22 | (0.11) | 0.56 | |
| YAFIX | Amg Yacktman Focused | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.28) | 0.85 | (0.79) | 2.49 |
Intrepid Endurance Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Intrepid price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Intrepid using various technical indicators. When you analyze Intrepid charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Intrepid Endurance Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Intrepid Endurance stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Intrepid Endurance Fund, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Intrepid Endurance based on analysis of Intrepid Endurance hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Intrepid Endurance's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Intrepid Endurance's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Intrepid Endurance
The number of cover stories for Intrepid Endurance depends on current market conditions and Intrepid Endurance's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Intrepid Endurance is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Intrepid Endurance's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Intrepid Mutual Fund
Intrepid Endurance financial ratios help investors to determine whether Intrepid Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Intrepid with respect to the benefits of owning Intrepid Endurance security.
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