Icts International Nv Stock Price Prediction
| ICTSF Stock | USD 4.90 0.65 15.29% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
56
Oversold | Overbought |
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of ICTS International based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using ICTS International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ICTS International NV from the perspective of ICTS International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in ICTS International. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in ICTS International to buy its otc stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying ICTS because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell otc stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
ICTS International after-hype prediction price | USD 4.9 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
ICTS |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ICTS International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
ICTS International After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of ICTS International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ICTS International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of ICTS International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
ICTS International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting ICTS International's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ICTS International's historical news coverage. ICTS International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.25 and 9.81, respectively. We have considered ICTS International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
ICTS International is unstable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ICTS International is based on 3 months time horizon.
ICTS International OTC Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as ICTS International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ICTS International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ICTS International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.09 | 4.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
4.90 | 4.90 | 0.00 |
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ICTS International Hype Timeline
ICTS International is currently traded for 4.90. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. ICTS is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.09%. %. The volatility of related hype on ICTS International is about 65466.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.90. About 83.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company last dividend was issued on the 11th of December 2002. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be uncertain. Check out ICTS International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.ICTS International Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to ICTS International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ICTS International's future price movements. Getting to know how ICTS International's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ICTS International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BKYI | BIO Key International | (0.02) | 6 per month | 8.32 | 0.02 | 18.31 | (12.50) | 124.43 | |
| LGMK | LogicMark | 0.04 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 19.35 | (17.11) | 71.81 | |
| SECUF | SSC Security Services | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.38 | (0.06) | 2.17 | (1.60) | 3.82 | |
| SNT | Senstar Technologies | 0.01 | 4 per month | 1.15 | 0.17 | 10.04 | (2.50) | 35.03 |
ICTS International Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine ICTS price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ICTS using various technical indicators. When you analyze ICTS charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About ICTS International Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of ICTS International stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as ICTS International NV, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of ICTS International based on analysis of ICTS International hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to ICTS International's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to ICTS International's related companies.
Story Coverage note for ICTS International
The number of cover stories for ICTS International depends on current market conditions and ICTS International's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that ICTS International is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about ICTS International's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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ICTS International Short Properties
ICTS International's future price predictability will typically decrease when ICTS International's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of ICTS International NV often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential ICTS International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ICTS International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 37.4 M |
Complementary Tools for ICTS OTC Stock analysis
When running ICTS International's price analysis, check to measure ICTS International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ICTS International is operating at the current time. Most of ICTS International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ICTS International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ICTS International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ICTS International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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