Idemitsu Kosan Co Stock Price Patterns
| IDKOY Stock | USD 18.78 0.14 0.75% |
Momentum 56
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Idemitsu Kosan hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Idemitsu Kosan Co from the perspective of Idemitsu Kosan response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Idemitsu Kosan to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Idemitsu because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Idemitsu Kosan after-hype prediction price | USD 18.78 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Idemitsu |
Idemitsu Kosan After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Idemitsu Kosan at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Idemitsu Kosan or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Idemitsu Kosan, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Idemitsu Kosan Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Idemitsu Kosan's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Idemitsu Kosan's historical news coverage. Idemitsu Kosan's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 16.14 and 21.42, respectively. We have considered Idemitsu Kosan's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Idemitsu Kosan is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Idemitsu Kosan is based on 3 months time horizon.
Idemitsu Kosan Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Idemitsu Kosan is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Idemitsu Kosan backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Idemitsu Kosan, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.40 | 2.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
18.78 | 18.78 | 0.00 |
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Idemitsu Kosan Hype Timeline
Idemitsu Kosan is currently traded for 18.78. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Idemitsu is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.4%. %. The volatility of related hype on Idemitsu Kosan is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 18.78. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.54. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Idemitsu Kosan recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.34. The entity last dividend was issued on the 29th of September 2022. The firm had 2:1 split on the 9th of January 2014. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be uncertain. Check out Idemitsu Kosan Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Idemitsu Kosan Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Idemitsu Kosan's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Idemitsu Kosan's future price movements. Getting to know how Idemitsu Kosan's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Idemitsu Kosan may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| KUNUF | Kunlun Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CHOLF | China Oilfield Services | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.95 | |
| MOHCY | Motor Oil Hellas | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.06 | 2.79 | 0.00 | 15.67 | |
| KLYCY | Kunlun Energy Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.47 | 0.05 | 6.22 | (4.95) | 12.85 | |
| GZPZF | Gaztransport Technigaz SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| FRVWY | Friedrich Vorwerk Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 4.26 | (2.90) | 21.80 | |
| DCCPF | DCC Plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.82 | |
| PBNAF | Pembina Pipeline | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 0.67 | 0.00 | 2.82 | |
| THNPF | Technip Energies NV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.67 | |
| THNPY | Technip Energies NV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 2.30 | (1.97) | 5.61 |
Idemitsu Kosan Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Idemitsu price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Idemitsu using various technical indicators. When you analyze Idemitsu charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Idemitsu Kosan Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Idemitsu Kosan stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Idemitsu Kosan Co, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Idemitsu Kosan based on analysis of Idemitsu Kosan hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Idemitsu Kosan's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Idemitsu Kosan's related companies.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Tools for Idemitsu Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Idemitsu Kosan's price analysis, check to measure Idemitsu Kosan's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Idemitsu Kosan is operating at the current time. Most of Idemitsu Kosan's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Idemitsu Kosan's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Idemitsu Kosan's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Idemitsu Kosan to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.