Intellicheck Mobilisa Stock Price Patterns

IDN Stock  USD 4.76  0.08  1.65%   
As of today, the relative strength index (RSI) of Intellicheck Mobilisa's share price is approaching 45. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Intellicheck Mobilisa, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 45

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Intellicheck Mobilisa's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Intellicheck Mobilisa, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Intellicheck Mobilisa's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.55)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.04
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.06
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.09
Wall Street Target Price
8
Using Intellicheck Mobilisa hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Intellicheck Mobilisa from the perspective of Intellicheck Mobilisa response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Intellicheck Mobilisa using Intellicheck Mobilisa's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Intellicheck using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Intellicheck Mobilisa's stock price.

Intellicheck Mobilisa Short Interest

An investor who is long Intellicheck Mobilisa may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Intellicheck Mobilisa and may potentially protect profits, hedge Intellicheck Mobilisa with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
5.2072
Short Percent
0.0114
Short Ratio
1.59
Shares Short Prior Month
216.5 K
50 Day MA
6.3054

Intellicheck Mobilisa Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Intellicheck Mobilisa's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Intellicheck. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Intellicheck can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Intellicheck Mobilisa. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Intellicheck Mobilisa's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Intellicheck Mobilisa.

Intellicheck Mobilisa Implied Volatility

    
  1.05  
Intellicheck Mobilisa's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Intellicheck Mobilisa stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Intellicheck Mobilisa's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Intellicheck Mobilisa stock will not fluctuate a lot when Intellicheck Mobilisa's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Intellicheck Mobilisa to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Intellicheck because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Intellicheck Mobilisa after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 4.75  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Intellicheck contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Intellicheck Mobilisa will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0656% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With Intellicheck Mobilisa trading at USD 4.76, that is roughly USD 0.003124 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Intellicheck Mobilisa's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Intellicheck Mobilisa options at the current volatility level of 1.05%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Intellicheck Mobilisa Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Intellicheck Stock, please use our How to Invest in Intellicheck Mobilisa guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Intellicheck Mobilisa's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.275.4811.59
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.14.7710.88
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
7.288.008.88
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.020.020.02
Details

Intellicheck Mobilisa After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Intellicheck Mobilisa at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Intellicheck Mobilisa or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Intellicheck Mobilisa, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Intellicheck Mobilisa Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Intellicheck Mobilisa's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Intellicheck Mobilisa's historical news coverage. Intellicheck Mobilisa's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.24 and 10.86, respectively. We have considered Intellicheck Mobilisa's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
4.76
4.75
After-hype Price
10.86
Upside
Intellicheck Mobilisa is unstable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Intellicheck Mobilisa is based on 3 months time horizon.

Intellicheck Mobilisa Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Intellicheck Mobilisa is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Intellicheck Mobilisa backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Intellicheck Mobilisa, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.25 
6.11
  0.01 
 0.00  
10 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
4.76
4.75
0.21 
30,550  
Notes

Intellicheck Mobilisa Hype Timeline

On the 6th of February Intellicheck Mobilisa is traded for 4.76. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Intellicheck is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 4.75. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.21%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.25%. The volatility of related hype on Intellicheck Mobilisa is about 47000.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.76. About 46.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Intellicheck Mobilisa had 1:8 split on the 13th of August 2014. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Intellicheck Mobilisa Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Intellicheck Stock, please use our How to Invest in Intellicheck Mobilisa guide.

Intellicheck Mobilisa Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Intellicheck Mobilisa's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Intellicheck Mobilisa's future price movements. Getting to know how Intellicheck Mobilisa's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Intellicheck Mobilisa may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
PSQHPSQ Holdings(0.01)9 per month 0.00 (0.40) 5.36 (8.53) 19.40 
RCTRedCloud Holdings plc 0.04 9 per month 0.00 (0.21) 8.33 (10.31) 22.43 
APIAgora Inc 0.13 9 per month 2.48  0.09  4.88 (4.71) 15.98 
RSSSResearch Solutions 0.02 7 per month 0.00 (0.1) 3.46 (5.63) 20.31 
ATHRAether Holdings 0.19 8 per month 0.00 (0.05) 7.88 (6.94) 25.31 
ONMDOneMedNet Corp 0.05 6 per month 0.00 (0.11) 13.71 (16.51) 53.01 
LINKInterlink Electronics(0.09)11 per month 0.00 (0.18) 8.38 (9.58) 23.00 
TCGLTechCreate Group(0.03)3 per month 0.00  0.15  8.96 (3.47) 32.11 
QHQuhuo(0.09)7 per month 6.82  0.01  21.00 (11.65) 65.89 
INVEIdentiv(0.08)9 per month 0.00 (0.06) 4.62 (5.38) 15.58 

Intellicheck Mobilisa Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Intellicheck price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Intellicheck using various technical indicators. When you analyze Intellicheck charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Intellicheck Mobilisa Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Intellicheck Mobilisa stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Intellicheck Mobilisa, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Intellicheck Mobilisa based on analysis of Intellicheck Mobilisa hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Intellicheck Mobilisa's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Intellicheck Mobilisa's related companies.
 2025 2026 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.002010.001758
Price To Sales Ratio3.112.96

Pair Trading with Intellicheck Mobilisa

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Intellicheck Mobilisa position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Intellicheck Mobilisa will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Intellicheck Stock

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to Intellicheck Mobilisa could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Intellicheck Mobilisa when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Intellicheck Mobilisa - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Intellicheck Mobilisa to buy it.
The correlation of Intellicheck Mobilisa is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Intellicheck Mobilisa moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Intellicheck Mobilisa moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Intellicheck Mobilisa can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Intellicheck Mobilisa offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Intellicheck Mobilisa's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Intellicheck Mobilisa Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Intellicheck Mobilisa Stock:
Check out Intellicheck Mobilisa Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Intellicheck Stock, please use our How to Invest in Intellicheck Mobilisa guide.
You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.
Will Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components sector continue expanding? Could Intellicheck diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Intellicheck Mobilisa. Market participants price Intellicheck higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Intellicheck Mobilisa data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.55)
Earnings Share
0.01
Revenue Per Share
1.114
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.277
Return On Assets
0.0016
Understanding Intellicheck Mobilisa requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Intellicheck's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Intellicheck Mobilisa's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Intellicheck Mobilisa's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Intellicheck Mobilisa's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Intellicheck Mobilisa is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Intellicheck Mobilisa's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.