Igm Biosciences Stock Price Prediction
| IGMS Stock | USD 9.40 0.51 5.74% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
34
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.74) | EPS Estimate Current Year (3.33) | EPS Estimate Next Year (2.20) | Wall Street Target Price 19.6 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.80) |
Using IGM Biosciences hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of IGM Biosciences from the perspective of IGM Biosciences response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in IGM Biosciences to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying IGM because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
IGM Biosciences after-hype prediction price | USD 9.54 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
IGM |
IGM Biosciences After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of IGM Biosciences at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in IGM Biosciences or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of IGM Biosciences, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
IGM Biosciences Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting IGM Biosciences' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on IGM Biosciences' historical news coverage. IGM Biosciences' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.09 and 16.99, respectively. We have considered IGM Biosciences' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
IGM Biosciences is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of IGM Biosciences is based on 3 months time horizon.
IGM Biosciences Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as IGM Biosciences is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading IGM Biosciences backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with IGM Biosciences, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.17 | 7.45 | 0.14 | 0.00 | 9 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
9.40 | 9.54 | 1.49 |
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IGM Biosciences Hype Timeline
IGM Biosciences is currently traded for 9.40. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.14, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. IGM is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 9.54 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 1.49%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.17%. The volatility of related hype on IGM Biosciences is about 41388.89%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.40. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.13 M. Net Loss for the year was (246.42 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.07 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out IGM Biosciences Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.IGM Biosciences Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to IGM Biosciences' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict IGM Biosciences' future price movements. Getting to know how IGM Biosciences' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how IGM Biosciences may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ELYM | Eliem Therapeutics | 0.25 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 6.21 | (9.35) | 34.87 | |
| SCPH | Scpharmaceuticals | (0.1) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 4.05 | (7.09) | 20.70 | |
| MIST | Milestone Pharmaceuticals | 0.05 | 7 per month | 1.61 | 0.09 | 7.19 | (2.11) | 18.66 | |
| MCRB | Seres Therapeutics | (0.06) | 9 per month | 5.66 | 0.02 | 10.84 | (9.78) | 28.84 | |
| LUMO | Lumos Pharma | (0.05) | 6 per month | 2.72 | 0.05 | 5.95 | (5.19) | 16.25 |
IGM Biosciences Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine IGM price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for IGM using various technical indicators. When you analyze IGM charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
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About IGM Biosciences Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of IGM Biosciences stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as IGM Biosciences, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of IGM Biosciences based on analysis of IGM Biosciences hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to IGM Biosciences's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to IGM Biosciences's related companies.
Story Coverage note for IGM Biosciences
The number of cover stories for IGM Biosciences depends on current market conditions and IGM Biosciences' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that IGM Biosciences is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about IGM Biosciences' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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IGM Biosciences Short Properties
IGM Biosciences' future price predictability will typically decrease when IGM Biosciences' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of IGM Biosciences often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential IGM Biosciences' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. IGM Biosciences' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 52.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 337.7 M |
Additional Tools for IGM Stock Analysis
When running IGM Biosciences' price analysis, check to measure IGM Biosciences' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy IGM Biosciences is operating at the current time. Most of IGM Biosciences' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of IGM Biosciences' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move IGM Biosciences' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of IGM Biosciences to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.