Argosy Property Limited Stock Price Prediction

IGPYF Stock  USD 0.69  0.02  2.99%   
As of 11th of December 2024 the relative strength index (rsi) of Argosy Property's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Oversold Vs Overbought

0

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Argosy Property's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Argosy Property and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Argosy Property's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Argosy Property Limited, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Argosy Property hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Argosy Property Limited from the perspective of Argosy Property response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Argosy Property to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Argosy because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Argosy Property after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.69  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Argosy Property Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Argosy Property's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.210.580.95
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.330.701.07
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.660.680.70
Details

Argosy Property After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Argosy Property at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Argosy Property or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Argosy Property, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Argosy Property Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Argosy Property's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Argosy Property's historical news coverage. Argosy Property's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.32 and 1.06, respectively. We have considered Argosy Property's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.69
0.69
After-hype Price
1.06
Upside
Argosy Property is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Argosy Property is based on 3 months time horizon.

Argosy Property Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Argosy Property is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Argosy Property backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Argosy Property, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.05 
0.37
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.69
0.69
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Argosy Property Hype Timeline

Argosy Property is currently traded for 0.69. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Argosy is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on Argosy Property is about 954.84%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.69. About 21.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.59. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Argosy Property last dividend was issued on the 6th of December 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be uncertain.
Check out Argosy Property Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Argosy Property Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Argosy Property's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Argosy Property's future price movements. Getting to know how Argosy Property's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Argosy Property may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Argosy Property Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Argosy price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Argosy using various technical indicators. When you analyze Argosy charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Argosy Property Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Argosy Property stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Argosy Property Limited, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Argosy Property based on analysis of Argosy Property hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Argosy Property's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Argosy Property's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Argosy Property

The number of cover stories for Argosy Property depends on current market conditions and Argosy Property's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Argosy Property is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Argosy Property's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Argosy Property Short Properties

Argosy Property's future price predictability will typically decrease when Argosy Property's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Argosy Property Limited often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Argosy Property's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Argosy Property's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding843.2 M

Complementary Tools for Argosy Pink Sheet analysis

When running Argosy Property's price analysis, check to measure Argosy Property's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Argosy Property is operating at the current time. Most of Argosy Property's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Argosy Property's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Argosy Property's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Argosy Property to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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