Infinera Stock Price Prediction
| INFN Stock | USD 6.62 0.03 0.45% |
Momentum 54
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.2 | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.11) | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.3032 | Wall Street Target Price 6.5417 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.07 |
Using Infinera hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Infinera from the perspective of Infinera response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Infinera using Infinera's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Infinera using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Infinera's stock price.
Infinera Implied Volatility | 1.81 |
Infinera's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Infinera stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Infinera's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Infinera stock will not fluctuate a lot when Infinera's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Infinera to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Infinera because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Infinera after-hype prediction price | USD 6.62 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Infinera contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Infinera will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.11% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With Infinera trading at USD 6.62, that is roughly USD 0.007489 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Infinera's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Infinera options at the current volatility level of 1.81%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Infinera |
Infinera After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Infinera at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Infinera or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Infinera, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Infinera Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Infinera's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Infinera's historical news coverage. Infinera's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 6.32 and 6.92, respectively. We have considered Infinera's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Infinera is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Infinera is based on 3 months time horizon.
Infinera Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Infinera is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Infinera backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Infinera, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 0.30 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 11 Events / Month | 13 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
6.62 | 6.62 | 0.00 |
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Infinera Hype Timeline
Infinera is currently traded for 6.62. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. Infinera is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Infinera is about 25.62%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.61. About 89.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.47. Infinera had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Infinera Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Infinera Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Infinera's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Infinera's future price movements. Getting to know how Infinera's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Infinera may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Infinera Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Infinera price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Infinera using various technical indicators. When you analyze Infinera charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Infinera Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Infinera stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Infinera, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Infinera based on analysis of Infinera hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Infinera's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Infinera's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 86.38 | 97.38 | 111.99 | 118.91 | PTB Ratio | 4.97 | 8.12 | 7.31 | 7.67 |
Story Coverage note for Infinera
The number of cover stories for Infinera depends on current market conditions and Infinera's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Infinera is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Infinera's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Infinera Short Properties
Infinera's future price predictability will typically decrease when Infinera's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Infinera often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Infinera's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Infinera's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 226.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 172.5 M |
Check out Infinera Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Infinera Stock, please use our How to Invest in Infinera guide.You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.
Is Communications Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Infinera. If investors know Infinera will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Infinera listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.47) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.1) | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of Infinera is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Infinera that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Infinera's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Infinera's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Infinera's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Infinera's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Infinera's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Infinera is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Infinera's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.