Identiv Stock Price Patterns

INVE Stock  USD 3.35  0.04  1.18%   
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Identiv's share price is approaching 44. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Identiv, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 44

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Identiv's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Identiv and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Identiv's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Identiv, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Identiv's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.89)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.19)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(0.68)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(0.56)
Wall Street Target Price
5.3333
Using Identiv hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Identiv from the perspective of Identiv response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Identiv using Identiv's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Identiv using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Identiv's stock price.

Identiv Implied Volatility

    
  1.42  
Identiv's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Identiv stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Identiv's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Identiv stock will not fluctuate a lot when Identiv's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Identiv to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Identiv because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Identiv after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 3.35  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Identiv Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Identiv Stock refer to our How to Trade Identiv Stock guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Identiv's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.954.117.27
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
4.855.335.92
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.18-0.14-0.1
Details

Identiv After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Identiv at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Identiv or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Identiv, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Identiv Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Identiv's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Identiv's historical news coverage. Identiv's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.19 and 6.51, respectively. We have considered Identiv's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
3.35
3.35
After-hype Price
6.51
Upside
Identiv is moderately volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Identiv is based on 3 months time horizon.

Identiv Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Identiv is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Identiv backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Identiv, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.09 
3.16
  0.01 
  0.03 
9 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
3.35
3.35
0.30 
3,950  
Notes

Identiv Hype Timeline

Identiv is currently traded for 3.35. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Identiv is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 3.35. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.3%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.09%. The volatility of related hype on Identiv is about 908.05%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.38. About 61.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.57. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Identiv has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 154.67. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.82. The firm had not issued any dividends in recent years. Identiv had 1:10 split on the 27th of May 2014. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Identiv Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Identiv Stock refer to our How to Trade Identiv Stock guide.

Identiv Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Identiv's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Identiv's future price movements. Getting to know how Identiv's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Identiv may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
VELOVelo3D 3.07 5 per month 8.81  0.18  23.12 (15.09) 74.84 
ALOTAstroNova 0.03 13 per month 2.20  0.01  4.76 (3.31) 21.34 
ATOMAtomera(0.15)8 per month 0.00 (0.02) 9.55 (7.04) 31.96 
SILCSilicom 0.58 9 per month 2.60  0.09  5.76 (5.02) 35.12 
PSQHPSQ Holdings(0.04)10 per month 0.00 (0.27) 6.67 (8.53) 19.40 
OSSOne Stop Systems 0.00 0 per month 4.54  0.14  14.78 (7.44) 39.65 
NANano Labs(0.05)7 per month 0.00 (0.08) 7.45 (7.27) 38.30 
CMTLComtech Telecommunications Corp 0.02 8 per month 4.06  0.20  10.68 (6.75) 27.66 
GNSSGenasys(0.02)11 per month 0.00 (0.11) 3.56 (4.66) 16.48 
RCTRedCloud Holdings plc 0.04 9 per month 0.00 (0.18) 8.76 (10.31) 22.43 

Identiv Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Identiv price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Identiv using various technical indicators. When you analyze Identiv charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Identiv Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Identiv stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Identiv, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Identiv based on analysis of Identiv hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Identiv's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Identiv's related companies.
 2023 2024 2025 2026 (projected)
Payables Turnover6.889.578.629.05
Days Of Inventory On Hand123.33103.7993.4175.83

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Complementary Tools for Identiv Stock analysis

When running Identiv's price analysis, check to measure Identiv's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Identiv is operating at the current time. Most of Identiv's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Identiv's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Identiv's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Identiv to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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