Julius Baer Group Stock Price Patterns
| JBAXY Stock | USD 16.51 0.04 0.24% |
Momentum 56
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Julius Baer hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Julius Baer Group from the perspective of Julius Baer response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Julius Baer to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Julius because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Julius Baer after-hype prediction price | USD 16.51 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Julius |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Julius Baer's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Julius Baer After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Julius Baer at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Julius Baer or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Julius Baer, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Julius Baer Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Julius Baer's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Julius Baer's historical news coverage. Julius Baer's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 14.63 and 18.39, respectively. We have considered Julius Baer's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Julius Baer is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Julius Baer Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
Julius Baer Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Julius Baer is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Julius Baer backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Julius Baer, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.26 | 1.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
16.51 | 16.51 | 0.00 |
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Julius Baer Hype Timeline
Julius Baer Group is currently traded for 16.51. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Julius is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.26%. %. The volatility of related hype on Julius Baer is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 16.51. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.88. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Julius Baer Group last dividend was issued on the 17th of April 2023. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be uncertain. Check out Julius Baer Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Julius Baer Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Julius Baer's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Julius Baer's future price movements. Getting to know how Julius Baer's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Julius Baer may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AMDUF | Amundi SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.33 | |
| SBHGF | SBI Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 4.77 | (5.11) | 54.17 | |
| LBGUF | L E Lundbergfretagen | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| BKNIY | Bankinter SA ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.66 | 0.03 | 2.90 | (2.90) | 8.11 | |
| AMIGF | Admiral Group plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 0.00 | (2.78) | 10.42 | |
| NBGRY | National Bank of | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.81 | 0.08 | 7.57 | (6.03) | 20.59 | |
| NBGIF | National Bank of | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.36 | 0.1 | 6.80 | (5.21) | 13.93 | |
| BKIMF | Bankinter SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.97 | |
| KPCPY | Kasikornbank Public Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.19 | 0.07 | 4.52 | (3.32) | 13.13 | |
| SNMCY | Suncorp Group Ltd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 7.60 | (9.31) | 21.46 |
Julius Baer Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Julius price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Julius using various technical indicators. When you analyze Julius charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Julius Baer Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Julius Baer stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Julius Baer Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Julius Baer based on analysis of Julius Baer hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Julius Baer's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Julius Baer's related companies.
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Tools for Julius Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Julius Baer's price analysis, check to measure Julius Baer's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Julius Baer is operating at the current time. Most of Julius Baer's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Julius Baer's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Julius Baer's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Julius Baer to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.