Jp Morgan Exchange Traded Etf Price Prediction
| JCTR Etf | USD 81.11 0.33 0.41% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
69
Oversold | Overbought |
Using JP Morgan hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of JP Morgan Exchange Traded from the perspective of JP Morgan response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in JP Morgan to buy its etf at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying JCTR because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell etfs at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
JP Morgan after-hype prediction price | USD 81.1 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
JCTR |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of JP Morgan's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
JP Morgan After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of JP Morgan at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in JP Morgan or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of JP Morgan, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
JP Morgan Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting JP Morgan's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on JP Morgan's historical news coverage. JP Morgan's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 80.30 and 81.90, respectively. We have considered JP Morgan's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
JP Morgan is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of JP Morgan Exchange is based on 3 months time horizon.
JP Morgan Etf Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as JP Morgan is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading JP Morgan backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with JP Morgan, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.12 | 0.80 | 0.01 | 0.05 | 1 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
81.11 | 81.10 | 0.01 |
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JP Morgan Hype Timeline
JP Morgan Exchange is currently traded for 81.11. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.05. JCTR is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 81.1. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.01%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.12%. The volatility of related hype on JP Morgan is about 176.99%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 81.06. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be very soon. Check out JP Morgan Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.JP Morgan Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to JP Morgan's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict JP Morgan's future price movements. Getting to know how JP Morgan's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how JP Morgan may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MSTSX | Morningstar Unconstrained Allocation | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.50 | (0.13) | 1.21 | (1.02) | 2.80 | |
| ABHYX | High Yield Municipal Fund | (0.01) | 1 per month | 0.26 | (0.41) | 0.34 | (0.33) | 1.91 | |
| VIASP | Via Renewables | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.05 | (0.02) | 2.28 | (1.15) | 7.18 | |
| KNF | Knife River | (1.91) | 7 per month | 1.84 | 0.15 | 4.01 | (2.46) | 12.96 | |
| KLKNF | Klckner Co SE | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.03 | |
| KMX | CarMax Inc | (0.59) | 10 per month | 1.77 | (0.06) | 4.14 | (3.24) | 8.69 | |
| SEIC | SEI Investments | (0.05) | 11 per month | 0.61 | 0.13 | 1.57 | (1.56) | 7.23 | |
| KOS | Kosmos Energy | 0.12 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 5.62 | (6.18) | 13.82 | |
| GSHD | Goosehead Insurance | (1.93) | 10 per month | 0.83 | 0.24 | 5.06 | (2.22) | 14.35 | |
| KOP | Koppers Holdings | (0.15) | 8 per month | 1.69 | (0.04) | 3.89 | (2.67) | 14.45 |
JP Morgan Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine JCTR price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for JCTR using various technical indicators. When you analyze JCTR charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About JP Morgan Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of JP Morgan stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as JP Morgan Exchange Traded, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of JP Morgan based on analysis of JP Morgan hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to JP Morgan's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to JP Morgan's related companies.
Story Coverage note for JP Morgan
The number of cover stories for JP Morgan depends on current market conditions and JP Morgan's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that JP Morgan is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about JP Morgan's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out JP Morgan Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..
The market value of JP Morgan Exchange is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of JCTR that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of JP Morgan's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is JP Morgan's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because JP Morgan's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect JP Morgan's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between JP Morgan's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if JP Morgan is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, JP Morgan's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.