Jungfraubahn Holding (Switzerland) Price Prediction
| JFN Stock | CHF 168.40 1.20 0.71% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
51
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Jungfraubahn Holding hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Jungfraubahn Holding AG from the perspective of Jungfraubahn Holding response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Jungfraubahn Holding to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Jungfraubahn because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Jungfraubahn Holding after-hype prediction price | CHF 169.6 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Jungfraubahn |
Jungfraubahn Holding After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Jungfraubahn Holding at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Jungfraubahn Holding or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Jungfraubahn Holding, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Jungfraubahn Holding Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Jungfraubahn Holding's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Jungfraubahn Holding's historical news coverage. Jungfraubahn Holding's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 168.31 and 170.89, respectively. We have considered Jungfraubahn Holding's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Jungfraubahn Holding is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Jungfraubahn Holding is based on 3 months time horizon.
Jungfraubahn Holding Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Jungfraubahn Holding is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Jungfraubahn Holding backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Jungfraubahn Holding, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.18 | 1.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
168.40 | 169.60 | 0.00 |
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Jungfraubahn Holding Hype Timeline
Jungfraubahn Holding is currently traded for 168.40on SIX Swiss Exchange of Switzerland. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Jungfraubahn is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.18%. %. The volatility of related hype on Jungfraubahn Holding is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 168.40. About 15.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.09. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Jungfraubahn Holding last dividend was issued on the 20th of May 2020. The entity had 20:2 split on the 16th of April 2004. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be uncertain. Check out Jungfraubahn Holding Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Jungfraubahn Holding Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Jungfraubahn Holding's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Jungfraubahn Holding's future price movements. Getting to know how Jungfraubahn Holding's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Jungfraubahn Holding may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EMMN | Emmi AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.39) | 1.03 | (1.38) | 4.21 | |
| FHZN | Flughafen Zurich | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| TIBN | Bergbahnen Engelberg Truebsee | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.32) | 1.00 | (1.29) | 3.02 | |
| EMSN | EMS CHEMIE HOLDING AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.31) | 1.41 | (2.34) | 5.11 | |
| BUCN | Bucher Industries AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.00 | (2.04) | 6.51 |
Jungfraubahn Holding Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Jungfraubahn price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Jungfraubahn using various technical indicators. When you analyze Jungfraubahn charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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About Jungfraubahn Holding Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Jungfraubahn Holding stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Jungfraubahn Holding AG, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Jungfraubahn Holding based on analysis of Jungfraubahn Holding hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Jungfraubahn Holding's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Jungfraubahn Holding's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Jungfraubahn Holding
The number of cover stories for Jungfraubahn Holding depends on current market conditions and Jungfraubahn Holding's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Jungfraubahn Holding is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Jungfraubahn Holding's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Jungfraubahn Holding Short Properties
Jungfraubahn Holding's future price predictability will typically decrease when Jungfraubahn Holding's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Jungfraubahn Holding AG often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Jungfraubahn Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jungfraubahn Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 79.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 17.8 M |
Additional Tools for Jungfraubahn Stock Analysis
When running Jungfraubahn Holding's price analysis, check to measure Jungfraubahn Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Jungfraubahn Holding is operating at the current time. Most of Jungfraubahn Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Jungfraubahn Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Jungfraubahn Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Jungfraubahn Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.