Johnson Matthey (UK) Price Prediction
| JMAT Stock | 1,318 175.00 11.72% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
42
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.62) | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.23 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.32 | Wall Street Target Price 2.3 K | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.17) |
Using Johnson Matthey hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Johnson Matthey PLC from the perspective of Johnson Matthey response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Johnson Matthey to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Johnson because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Johnson Matthey after-hype prediction price | GBX 1317.1 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Johnson |
Johnson Matthey After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Johnson Matthey at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Johnson Matthey or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Johnson Matthey, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Johnson Matthey Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Johnson Matthey's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Johnson Matthey's historical news coverage. Johnson Matthey's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1,315 and 1,319, respectively. We have considered Johnson Matthey's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Johnson Matthey is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Johnson Matthey PLC is based on 3 months time horizon.
Johnson Matthey Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Johnson Matthey is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Johnson Matthey backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Johnson Matthey, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.31 | 2.23 | 0.93 | 0.71 | 1 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1,318 | 1,317 | 0.07 |
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Johnson Matthey Hype Timeline
Johnson Matthey PLC is currently traded for 1,318on London Exchange of UK. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.93, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.71. Johnson is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 1317.1. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 74.33%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.07%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.31%. The volatility of related hype on Johnson Matthey is about 97.88%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1,317. About 64.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.08. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Johnson Matthey PLC has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.96. The entity last dividend was issued on the 6th of June 2024. The firm had 17:18 split on the 11th of January 2016. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be very soon. Check out Johnson Matthey Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Johnson Matthey Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Johnson Matthey's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Johnson Matthey's future price movements. Getting to know how Johnson Matthey's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Johnson Matthey may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 0IJV | Extra Space Storage | 2.81 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.26 | (2.52) | 6.85 | |
| ABF | Associated British Foods | (16.00) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 1.74 | (2.54) | 9.00 | |
| 0LEE | Teradata Corp | 0.03 | 5 per month | 2.91 | 0.04 | 3.02 | (2.04) | 17.87 | |
| SPT | Spirent Communications plc | (1.10) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 1.31 | (1.10) | 3.18 | |
| 0GZK | Ion Beam Applications | 0.21 | 1 per month | 1.85 | 0.03 | 6.53 | (3.30) | 17.27 | |
| BVC | Batm Advanced Communications | 0.38 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 6.42 | (6.54) | 17.59 |
Johnson Matthey Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Johnson price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Johnson using various technical indicators. When you analyze Johnson charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About Johnson Matthey Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Johnson Matthey stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Johnson Matthey PLC, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Johnson Matthey based on analysis of Johnson Matthey hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Johnson Matthey's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Johnson Matthey's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Johnson Matthey
The number of cover stories for Johnson Matthey depends on current market conditions and Johnson Matthey's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Johnson Matthey is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Johnson Matthey's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Johnson Matthey Short Properties
Johnson Matthey's future price predictability will typically decrease when Johnson Matthey's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Johnson Matthey PLC often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Johnson Matthey's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Johnson Matthey's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 184.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 542 M |
Additional Tools for Johnson Stock Analysis
When running Johnson Matthey's price analysis, check to measure Johnson Matthey's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Johnson Matthey is operating at the current time. Most of Johnson Matthey's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Johnson Matthey's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Johnson Matthey's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Johnson Matthey to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.