Knights Of Umbus Fund Price Patterns

KCSSX Fund  USD 14.39  0.18  1.27%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Knights Of's mutual fund price is slightly above 68. This indicates that the mutual fund is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Knights, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 68

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Knights Of's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Knights Of Umbus, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Knights Of hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Knights Of Umbus from the perspective of Knights Of response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Knights Of to buy its mutual fund at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Knights because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell mutual funds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Knights Of after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 14.31  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Knights Of Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Knights Of's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.3215.1617.00
Details

Knights Of After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Knights Of at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Knights Of or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Knights Of, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Knights Of Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Knights Of's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Knights Of's historical news coverage. Knights Of's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 12.47 and 16.15, respectively. We have considered Knights Of's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
14.39
14.31
After-hype Price
16.15
Upside
Knights Of is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Knights Of Umbus is based on 3 months time horizon.

Knights Of Mutual Fund Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Knights Of is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Knights Of backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Knights Of, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.50 
1.84
  0.08 
  33.82 
1 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
14.39
14.31
0.56 
1,150  
Notes

Knights Of Hype Timeline

Knights Of Umbus is now traded for 14.39. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.08, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -33.82. Knights is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 14.31. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -0.56%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.5%. The volatility of related hype on Knights Of is about 2.72%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of -19.43. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.8. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Knights Of Umbus last dividend was issued on the 28th of March 1970. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be very soon.
Check out Knights Of Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Knights Of Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Knights Of's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Knights Of's future price movements. Getting to know how Knights Of's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Knights Of may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Knights Of Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Knights price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Knights using various technical indicators. When you analyze Knights charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Knights Of Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Knights Of stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Knights Of Umbus, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Knights Of based on analysis of Knights Of hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Knights Of's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Knights Of's related companies.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Knights Mutual Fund

Knights Of financial ratios help investors to determine whether Knights Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Knights with respect to the benefits of owning Knights Of security.
Price Exposure Probability
Analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets
Portfolio Analyzer
Portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine
Equity Search
Search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets