KEC International (India) Price Prediction
| KEC Stock | 1,023 0.95 0.09% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
48
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.53 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 7.25 | EPS Estimate Current Year 15.08 | EPS Estimate Next Year 30.45 | Wall Street Target Price 1 K |
Using KEC International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of KEC International Limited from the perspective of KEC International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in KEC International to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying KEC because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
KEC International after-hype prediction price | INR 1028.09 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
KEC |
KEC International After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of KEC International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in KEC International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of KEC International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
KEC International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting KEC International's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on KEC International's historical news coverage. KEC International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 920.75 and 1,031, respectively. We have considered KEC International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
KEC International is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of KEC International is based on 3 months time horizon.
KEC International Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as KEC International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading KEC International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with KEC International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.15 | 2.55 | 5.04 | 0.43 | 4 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1,023 | 1,028 | 0.49 |
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KEC International Hype Timeline
KEC International is now traded for 1,023on National Stock Exchange of India of India. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 5.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.43. KEC is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 1028.09 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 7.59%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.49%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.15%. The volatility of related hype on KEC International is about 88.43%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1,023. The company reported the revenue of 195.95 B. Net Income was 3.47 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 34.74 B. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days. Check out KEC International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.KEC International Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to KEC International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict KEC International's future price movements. Getting to know how KEC International's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how KEC International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RATNAMANI | Ratnamani Metals Tubes | 7.20 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.38 | (2.13) | 11.63 | |
| RAJMET | Rajnandini Metal Limited | 0.19 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.31) | 2.57 | (3.86) | 7.56 | |
| SBCL | Shivalik Bimetal Controls | 12.60 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.41 | (3.89) | 13.81 | |
| MANAKCOAT | Manaksia Coated Metals | (2.11) | 4 per month | 2.52 | 0.02 | 4.99 | (4.17) | 10.01 | |
| HEMIPROP | Hemisphere Properties India | (4.84) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 3.55 | (3.65) | 13.08 | |
| HISARMETAL | Hisar Metal Industries | (6.87) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.81 | (4.01) | 15.13 | |
| SMLT | Sarthak Metals Limited | (1.94) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 5.30 | (5.42) | 22.92 | |
| HITECHGEAR | The Hi Tech Gears | (27.30) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 3.88 | (4.26) | 9.25 |
KEC International Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine KEC price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for KEC using various technical indicators. When you analyze KEC charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About KEC International Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of KEC International stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as KEC International Limited, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of KEC International based on analysis of KEC International hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to KEC International's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to KEC International's related companies.
Story Coverage note for KEC International
The number of cover stories for KEC International depends on current market conditions and KEC International's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that KEC International is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about KEC International's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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KEC International Short Properties
KEC International's future price predictability will typically decrease when KEC International's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of KEC International Limited often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential KEC International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. KEC International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 257.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.1 B |
Complementary Tools for KEC Stock analysis
When running KEC International's price analysis, check to measure KEC International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy KEC International is operating at the current time. Most of KEC International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of KEC International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move KEC International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of KEC International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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