Mainstay Wmc Growth Fund Price Patterns

KLGDX Fund  USD 55.78  0.92  1.68%   
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Mainstay Wmc's share price is approaching 40. This indicates that the mutual fund is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Mainstay Wmc, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 40

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Mainstay Wmc's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Mainstay Wmc Growth, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Mainstay Wmc hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Mainstay Wmc Growth from the perspective of Mainstay Wmc response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Mainstay Wmc to buy its mutual fund at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Mainstay because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell mutual funds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Mainstay Wmc after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 55.78  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Mainstay Wmc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mainstay Wmc's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
54.9355.9857.03
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
55.4556.5057.55
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
33.9155.3856.46
Details

Mainstay Wmc After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Mainstay Wmc at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Mainstay Wmc or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Mainstay Wmc, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Mainstay Wmc Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Mainstay Wmc's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Mainstay Wmc's historical news coverage. Mainstay Wmc's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 54.73 and 56.83, respectively. We have considered Mainstay Wmc's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
55.78
55.78
After-hype Price
56.83
Upside
Mainstay Wmc is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Mainstay Wmc Growth is based on 3 months time horizon.

Mainstay Wmc Mutual Fund Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Mainstay Wmc is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Mainstay Wmc backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Mainstay Wmc, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.02 
1.05
 0.00  
  0.11 
0 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
55.78
55.78
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Mainstay Wmc Hype Timeline

Mainstay Wmc Growth is now traded for 55.78. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.11. Mainstay is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on Mainstay Wmc is about 19.16%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 55.89. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain.
Check out Mainstay Wmc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Mainstay Wmc Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Mainstay Wmc's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Mainstay Wmc's future price movements. Getting to know how Mainstay Wmc's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Mainstay Wmc may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
MLACXMainstay Large Cap 8.99 3 per month 0.00 (0.15) 1.48 (2.20) 45.82 
MLAAXMainstay Large Cap 45.75 1 per month 0.79  0.07  1.50 (1.92) 34.18 
MLAIXMainstay Large Cap 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.17) 1.44 (1.93) 4.99 
MLRMXMainstay Winslow Large 0.04 1 per month 0.72  0.08  1.51 (1.97) 38.18 
MMHAXMainstay High Yield 0.01 1 per month 0.00 (0.60) 0.26 (0.17) 0.85 
MMHDXMainstay High Yield 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.59) 0.26 (0.17) 0.86 
MMHIXMainstay High Yield 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.51) 0.26 (0.09) 1.03 
MMPDXMainstay Wmc Value 0.00 0 per month 0.43  0.11  1.57 (1.21) 6.22 
MMPCXMainstay Map Equity 0.00 0 per month 0.30  0.12  1.59 (1.22) 11.23 
MMRAXMainstay Moderate Allocation 0.00 0 per month 0.07  0.05  0.83 (0.69) 4.50 

Mainstay Wmc Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Mainstay price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Mainstay using various technical indicators. When you analyze Mainstay charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Mainstay Wmc Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Mainstay Wmc stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Mainstay Wmc Growth, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Mainstay Wmc based on analysis of Mainstay Wmc hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Mainstay Wmc's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Mainstay Wmc's related companies.

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Other Information on Investing in Mainstay Mutual Fund

Mainstay Wmc financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mainstay Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mainstay with respect to the benefits of owning Mainstay Wmc security.
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