Kestra Medical Technologies, Stock Price Prediction

KMTS Stock   27.52  0.03  0.11%   
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Kestra Medical's share price is approaching 45. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Kestra Medical, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 45

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Kestra Medical's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Kestra Medical and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Kestra Medical's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Kestra Medical Technologies,, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Kestra Medical's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Current Year
(2.20)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(1.89)
Wall Street Target Price
27.5
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.823
Using Kestra Medical hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kestra Medical Technologies, from the perspective of Kestra Medical response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Kestra Medical to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Kestra because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Kestra Medical after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 26.65  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Kestra Medical Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Kestra Medical's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.2624.6928.12
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
24.8828.3131.74
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
25.0327.5030.53
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.51-0.47-0.42
Details

Kestra Medical After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Kestra Medical at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kestra Medical or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Kestra Medical, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Kestra Medical Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Kestra Medical's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kestra Medical's historical news coverage. Kestra Medical's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 23.22 and 30.08, respectively. We have considered Kestra Medical's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
27.52
26.65
After-hype Price
30.08
Upside
Kestra Medical is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kestra Medical Techn is based on 3 months time horizon.

Kestra Medical Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Kestra Medical is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kestra Medical backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kestra Medical, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.25 
3.46
  0.80 
  0.08 
10 Events / Month
8 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
27.52
26.65
3.16 
107.45  
Notes

Kestra Medical Hype Timeline

Kestra Medical Techn is now traded for 27.52. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.8, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.08. Kestra is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 26.65. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 107.45%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -3.16%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.25%. The volatility of related hype on Kestra Medical is about 1108.97%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 27.44. About 87.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded a loss per share of 1.92. Kestra Medical Techn had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Kestra Medical Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Kestra Medical Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Kestra Medical's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kestra Medical's future price movements. Getting to know how Kestra Medical's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kestra Medical may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
AZTAAzenta Inc 1.56 8 per month 2.38  0.04  4.88 (4.80) 22.17 
NVCRNovocure(0.43)9 per month 2.92  0  5.31 (4.90) 17.03 
STAASTAAR Surgical(3.22)12 per month 0.00 (0.05) 5.47 (5.97) 15.52 
BLFSBioLife Solutions(0.21)12 per month 1.91 (0.01) 3.95 (3.55) 13.74 
WVEWave Life Sciences(0.82)9 per month 3.92  0.12  11.43 (8.08) 164.47 
PLSEPulse Biosciences(0.25)8 per month 0.00 (0.11) 3.91 (4.51) 13.37 
NEOGNeogen(0.02)10 per month 3.09  0.09  5.96 (5.91) 27.41 
TERNTerns Pharmaceuticals 0.44 23 per month 2.70  0.28  13.30 (5.80) 76.18 
PGENPrecigen(0.12)7 per month 4.66  0.03  8.70 (7.58) 38.64 
EVOEvotec SE ADR(0.05)6 per month 0.00 (0.09) 3.58 (4.20) 19.20 

Kestra Medical Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Kestra price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kestra using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kestra charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Kestra Medical Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Kestra Medical stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Kestra Medical Technologies,, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Kestra Medical based on analysis of Kestra Medical hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Kestra Medical's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Kestra Medical's related companies.
 2023 2024 2025 (projected)
Dividend Yield7.39E-40.0013880.001457
Price To Sales Ratio38.8919.9218.93

Story Coverage note for Kestra Medical

The number of cover stories for Kestra Medical depends on current market conditions and Kestra Medical's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Kestra Medical is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Kestra Medical's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Kestra Medical Short Properties

Kestra Medical's future price predictability will typically decrease when Kestra Medical's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Kestra Medical Technologies, often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Kestra Medical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kestra Medical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding49.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments237.6 M

Additional Tools for Kestra Stock Analysis

When running Kestra Medical's price analysis, check to measure Kestra Medical's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kestra Medical is operating at the current time. Most of Kestra Medical's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kestra Medical's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kestra Medical's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kestra Medical to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.