Kraneshares Hang Seng Etf Price Prediction
| KTEC Etf | USD 15.81 0.02 0.13% |
Momentum 43
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using KraneShares Hang hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of KraneShares Hang Seng from the perspective of KraneShares Hang response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards KraneShares Hang using KraneShares Hang's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards KraneShares using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of KraneShares Hang's stock price.
KraneShares Hang Implied Volatility | 0.72 |
KraneShares Hang's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of KraneShares Hang Seng stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if KraneShares Hang's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that KraneShares Hang stock will not fluctuate a lot when KraneShares Hang's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in KraneShares Hang to buy its etf at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying KraneShares because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell etfs at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
KraneShares Hang after-hype prediction price | USD 15.82 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current KraneShares contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that KraneShares Hang Seng will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.045% per day over the life of the 2026-02-20 option contract. With KraneShares Hang trading at USD 15.81, that is roughly USD 0.007115 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating KraneShares Hang's daily price movement you should consider acquiring KraneShares Hang Seng options at the current volatility level of 0.72%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
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Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of KraneShares Hang's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
KraneShares Hang After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of KraneShares Hang at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in KraneShares Hang or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of KraneShares Hang, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
KraneShares Hang Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting KraneShares Hang's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on KraneShares Hang's historical news coverage. KraneShares Hang's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 14.06 and 17.58, respectively. We have considered KraneShares Hang's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
KraneShares Hang is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of KraneShares Hang Seng is based on 3 months time horizon.
KraneShares Hang Etf Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as KraneShares Hang is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading KraneShares Hang backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with KraneShares Hang, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.18 | 1.76 | 0.01 | 0.32 | 1 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
15.81 | 15.82 | 0.06 |
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KraneShares Hang Hype Timeline
KraneShares Hang Seng is now traded for 15.81. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.32. KraneShares is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 15.82 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.06%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.18%. The volatility of related hype on KraneShares Hang is about 99.55%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.49. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 143.82 M. Net Income was 1.97 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 47.19 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out KraneShares Hang Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.KraneShares Hang Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to KraneShares Hang's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict KraneShares Hang's future price movements. Getting to know how KraneShares Hang's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how KraneShares Hang may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EIRL | iShares MSCI Ireland | 0.03 | 1 per month | 0.55 | 0.15 | 1.83 | (1.03) | 4.01 | |
| KEMX | KraneShares MSCI Emerging | (0.35) | 1 per month | 1.11 | 0.05 | 1.71 | (1.53) | 5.90 | |
| FEDM | FlexShares ESG Climate | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.97 | 0.01 | 1.88 | (1.66) | 5.39 | |
| WOMN | Impact Shares YWCA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.67 | (0.04) | 0.95 | (1.06) | 2.96 | |
| BLCV | BlackRock ETF Trust | 0.15 | 1 per month | 0.58 | 0.03 | 1.17 | (0.93) | 3.15 | |
| GSJY | Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta | (0.04) | 2 per month | 1.09 | (0.02) | 1.71 | (1.69) | 5.95 | |
| FSYD | Fidelity Sustainable High | (17.35) | 10 per month | 0.23 | (0.22) | 0.46 | (0.38) | 1.09 | |
| EASG | Xtrackers MSCI EAFE | (0.04) | 2 per month | 0.87 | (0.01) | 1.20 | (1.25) | 3.51 | |
| PFI | Invesco DWA Financial | 0.27 | 1 per month | 1.53 | (0.03) | 2.03 | (2.91) | 5.65 | |
| KGRN | KraneShares MSCI China | (0.35) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.10 | (2.49) | 10.57 |
KraneShares Hang Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine KraneShares price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for KraneShares using various technical indicators. When you analyze KraneShares charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About KraneShares Hang Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of KraneShares Hang stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as KraneShares Hang Seng, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of KraneShares Hang based on analysis of KraneShares Hang hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to KraneShares Hang's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to KraneShares Hang's related companies.
Story Coverage note for KraneShares Hang
The number of cover stories for KraneShares Hang depends on current market conditions and KraneShares Hang's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that KraneShares Hang is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about KraneShares Hang's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out KraneShares Hang Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.
The market value of KraneShares Hang Seng is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of KraneShares that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of KraneShares Hang's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is KraneShares Hang's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because KraneShares Hang's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect KraneShares Hang's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between KraneShares Hang's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if KraneShares Hang is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, KraneShares Hang's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.