Luminar Technologies Stock Price Prediction
| LAZR Stock | USD 6.72 0.18 2.61% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
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Oversold | Overbought |
Using Luminar Technologies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Luminar Technologies from the perspective of Luminar Technologies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Luminar Technologies to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Luminar because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Luminar Technologies after-hype prediction price | USD 6.6 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Luminar |
Luminar Technologies After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Luminar Technologies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Luminar Technologies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Luminar Technologies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Luminar Technologies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Luminar Technologies' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Luminar Technologies' historical news coverage. Luminar Technologies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.33 and 15.10, respectively. We have considered Luminar Technologies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Luminar Technologies is moderately volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Luminar Technologies is based on 3 months time horizon.
Luminar Technologies Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Luminar Technologies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Luminar Technologies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Luminar Technologies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.64 | 8.43 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
6.72 | 6.60 | 1.79 |
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Luminar Technologies Hype Timeline
Luminar Technologies is now traded for 6.72. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.05. Luminar is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 6.6. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -1.79%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.64%. The volatility of related hype on Luminar Technologies is about 11323.88%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.67. About 35.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.11. Luminar Technologies recorded a loss per share of 16.07. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:15 split on the 21st of November 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Luminar Technologies Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Luminar Technologies Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Luminar Technologies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Luminar Technologies' future price movements. Getting to know how Luminar Technologies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Luminar Technologies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MBLY | Mobileye Global Class | (0.15) | 8 per month | 5.00 | 0.08 | 8.39 | (10.51) | 27.70 | |
| HYLN | Hyliion Holdings Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.81 | 0.01 | 9.30 | (6.79) | 36.71 | |
| AEVA | Aeva Technologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.83 | 0.06 | 8.46 | (6.49) | 21.95 | |
| INVZ | Innoviz Technologies | (0.25) | 6 per month | 5.33 | 0.16 | 19.18 | (8.70) | 47.59 | |
| QS | Quantumscape Corp | (0.25) | 10 per month | 3.66 | (0.0007) | 8.30 | (6.89) | 34.54 | |
| HSAI | Hesai Group American | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.19 | 0.24 | 16.71 | (8.33) | 65.40 | |
| LIDR | Aeye Inc | (0.02) | 7 per month | 9.93 | 0.05 | 14.78 | (17.16) | 92.02 | |
| KNDI | Kandi Technologies Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 6.96 | (6.52) | 35.48 | |
| WPRT | Westport Fuel Systems | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 5.56 | (4.67) | 14.74 |
Luminar Technologies Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Luminar price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Luminar using various technical indicators. When you analyze Luminar charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Luminar Technologies Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Luminar Technologies stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Luminar Technologies, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Luminar Technologies based on analysis of Luminar Technologies hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Luminar Technologies's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Luminar Technologies's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Luminar Technologies
The number of cover stories for Luminar Technologies depends on current market conditions and Luminar Technologies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Luminar Technologies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Luminar Technologies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Luminar Technologies Short Properties
Luminar Technologies' future price predictability will typically decrease when Luminar Technologies' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Luminar Technologies often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Luminar Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Luminar Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 389.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 289.8 M |
Additional Tools for Luminar Stock Analysis
When running Luminar Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Luminar Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Luminar Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Luminar Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Luminar Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Luminar Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Luminar Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.