Legacy Education Stock Price Prediction
| LGCY Stock | USD 7.93 0.36 4.76% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
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Oversold | Overbought |
Using Legacy Education hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Legacy Education from the perspective of Legacy Education response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Legacy Education to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Legacy because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Legacy Education after-hype prediction price | USD 7.72 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Legacy |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Legacy Education's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Legacy Education After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Legacy Education at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Legacy Education or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Legacy Education, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Legacy Education Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Legacy Education's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Legacy Education's historical news coverage. Legacy Education's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.58 and 12.86, respectively. We have considered Legacy Education's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Legacy Education is moderately volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Legacy Education is based on 3 months time horizon.
Legacy Education Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Legacy Education is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Legacy Education backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Legacy Education, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.75 | 5.14 | 0.21 | 0.02 | 7 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
7.93 | 7.72 | 2.65 |
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Legacy Education Hype Timeline
Legacy Education is now traded for 7.93. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.21, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Legacy is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 7.72. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -2.65%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 1.75%. The volatility of related hype on Legacy Education is about 51400.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.95. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.93. Legacy Education last dividend was issued on the 3rd of November 2015. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Legacy Education Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Legacy Education Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Legacy Education's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Legacy Education's future price movements. Getting to know how Legacy Education's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Legacy Education may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GV | Visionary Education Technology | (0.09) | 8 per month | 6.72 | 0.02 | 10.00 | (12.00) | 133.12 | |
| IH | Ihuman Inc | 0.03 | 5 per month | 3.03 | (0.02) | 6.16 | (5.49) | 22.95 | |
| JZ | Jianzhi Education Technology | 0.02 | 5 per month | 6.07 | 0.1 | 13.13 | (10.28) | 49.08 | |
| YQ | 17 Education Technology | (0.03) | 3 per month | 3.79 | (0.01) | 8.22 | (6.19) | 32.10 | |
| VSTA | Vasta Platform | (0.07) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.60 | (3.44) | 21.29 | |
| EDTK | Skillful Craftsman Education | 0.06 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 6.25 | (5.83) | 13.80 | |
| EEIQ | Elite Education Group | (0.02) | 5 per month | 3.87 | 0.09 | 9.59 | (6.67) | 28.21 | |
| WAFU | Wah Fu Education | 0.01 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 5.59 | (5.85) | 37.09 | |
| FEDU | Four Seasons Education | 0.29 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 10.68 | (5.70) | 53.29 | |
| COE | 51Talk Online Education | (0.1) | 8 per month | 3.11 | 0.05 | 5.43 | (4.95) | 27.73 |
Legacy Education Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Legacy price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Legacy using various technical indicators. When you analyze Legacy charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Legacy Education Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Legacy Education stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Legacy Education, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Legacy Education based on analysis of Legacy Education hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Legacy Education's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Legacy Education's related companies. | 2019 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 32.43 | 27.11 | 28.76 | 17.19 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 4.07 | 8.92 | 8.27 | 11.54 |
Story Coverage note for Legacy Education
The number of cover stories for Legacy Education depends on current market conditions and Legacy Education's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Legacy Education is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Legacy Education's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Legacy Education Short Properties
Legacy Education's future price predictability will typically decrease when Legacy Education's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Legacy Education often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Legacy Education's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Legacy Education's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 11.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 10.4 M |
Additional Tools for Legacy Stock Analysis
When running Legacy Education's price analysis, check to measure Legacy Education's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Legacy Education is operating at the current time. Most of Legacy Education's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Legacy Education's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Legacy Education's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Legacy Education to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.