Profunds Large Cap Growth Fund Price Patterns
| LGPSX Fund | USD 39.52 0.17 0.43% |
Momentum 51
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Profunds Large hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Profunds Large Cap Growth from the perspective of Profunds Large response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Profunds Large to buy its mutual fund at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Profunds because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell mutual funds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Profunds Large after-hype prediction price | USD 39.52 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Profunds |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Profunds Large's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Profunds Large After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Profunds Large at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Profunds Large or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Profunds Large, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Profunds Large Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Profunds Large's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Profunds Large's historical news coverage. Profunds Large's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 38.45 and 40.59, respectively. We have considered Profunds Large's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Profunds Large is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Profunds Large Cap is based on 3 months time horizon.
Profunds Large Mutual Fund Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Profunds Large is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Profunds Large backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Profunds Large, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 1.07 | 0.56 | 0.00 | 3 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
39.52 | 39.52 | 0.00 |
|
Profunds Large Hype Timeline
Profunds Large Cap is now traded for 39.52. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.56, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Profunds is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 3.83%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on Profunds Large is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 39.52. The company last dividend was issued on the 23rd of December 2019. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Profunds Large Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Profunds Large Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Profunds Large's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Profunds Large's future price movements. Getting to know how Profunds Large's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Profunds Large may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CGTCX | Us Government Securities | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.30) | 0.25 | (0.17) | 0.58 | |
| VIIGX | Vanguard Intermediate Term Government | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.28) | 0.24 | (0.20) | 0.68 | |
| TWUSX | Short Term Government Fund | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.63) | 0.11 | (0.11) | 0.44 | |
| RGVJX | Us Government Securities | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 0.33 | (0.25) | 0.58 | |
| UIGSX | Government Securities Fund | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 0.33 | (0.22) | 0.67 | |
| RGVAX | Us Government Securities | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.28) | 0.25 | (0.25) | 0.58 | |
| RGVCX | Us Government Securities | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 0.25 | (0.25) | 0.66 |
Profunds Large Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Profunds price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Profunds using various technical indicators. When you analyze Profunds charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Profunds Large Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Profunds Large stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Profunds Large Cap Growth, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Profunds Large based on analysis of Profunds Large hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Profunds Large's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Profunds Large's related companies.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Profunds Mutual Fund
Profunds Large financial ratios help investors to determine whether Profunds Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Profunds with respect to the benefits of owning Profunds Large security.
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