Litigation Capital (UK) Price Prediction

LIT Stock   115.75  0.75  0.65%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Litigation Capital's the stock price is about 64. This indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Litigation, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

64

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Litigation Capital's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Litigation Capital and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Litigation Capital's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Litigation Capital Management, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Litigation Capital's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.83)
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.09
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.04
Wall Street Target Price
129.11
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.72)
Using Litigation Capital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Litigation Capital Management from the perspective of Litigation Capital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Litigation Capital to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Litigation because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Litigation Capital after-hype prediction price

    
  GBX 115.31  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Litigation Capital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
107.06109.75127.33
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details

Litigation Capital After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Litigation Capital at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Litigation Capital or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Litigation Capital, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Litigation Capital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Litigation Capital's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Litigation Capital's historical news coverage. Litigation Capital's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 112.62 and 118.00, respectively. We have considered Litigation Capital's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
115.75
112.62
Downside
115.31
After-hype Price
118.00
Upside
Litigation Capital is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Litigation Capital is based on 3 months time horizon.

Litigation Capital Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Litigation Capital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Litigation Capital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Litigation Capital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.22 
2.69
  0.44 
  1.19 
4 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In about 4 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
115.75
115.31
0.38 
134.50  
Notes

Litigation Capital Hype Timeline

Litigation Capital is now traded for 115.75on London Exchange of UK. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.44, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 1.19. Litigation is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 115.31. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 134.5%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.38%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.22%. The volatility of related hype on Litigation Capital is about 49.69%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 116.94. About 19.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.21. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Litigation Capital last dividend was issued on the 3rd of October 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days.
Check out Litigation Capital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Litigation Capital Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Litigation Capital's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Litigation Capital's future price movements. Getting to know how Litigation Capital's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Litigation Capital may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BISIBisichi Mining PLC 2.50 1 per month 1.72  0.07  2.38 (4.17) 40.12 
PRVPorvair plc 40.00 2 per month 1.62 (0.04) 3.38 (2.99) 9.44 
FA17Fair Oaks Income 0.00 2 per month 0.00 (0.16) 0.00  0.00  0.00 
0QZ4Delta Air Lines 0.02 3 per month 1.33  0.26  4.53 (2.49) 9.56 
0HDKSystemair AB 0.00 1 per month 0.97  0.1  3.08 (2.24) 9.40 
0HC3Alaska Air Group 0.89 3 per month 0.89  0.25  4.41 (2.57) 10.02 
SISScience in Sport 0.50 2 per month 1.08 (0.02) 2.08 (1.96) 9.32 
CAMLCentral Asia Metals(0.60)1 per month 0.00 (0.19) 2.42 (3.29) 9.45 

Litigation Capital Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Litigation price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Litigation using various technical indicators. When you analyze Litigation charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Litigation Capital Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Litigation Capital stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Litigation Capital Management, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Litigation Capital based on analysis of Litigation Capital hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Litigation Capital's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Litigation Capital's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Litigation Capital

The number of cover stories for Litigation Capital depends on current market conditions and Litigation Capital's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Litigation Capital is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Litigation Capital's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Litigation Capital Short Properties

Litigation Capital's future price predictability will typically decrease when Litigation Capital's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Litigation Capital Management often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Litigation Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Litigation Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding112.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments533.3 M

Complementary Tools for Litigation Stock analysis

When running Litigation Capital's price analysis, check to measure Litigation Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Litigation Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Litigation Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Litigation Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Litigation Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Litigation Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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