Direxion Shares Etf Price Patterns
| LMBO Etf | 17.70 2.72 18.16% |
Momentum 48
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Direxion Shares hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Direxion Shares ETF from the perspective of Direxion Shares response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Direxion Shares using Direxion Shares' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Direxion using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Direxion Shares' stock price.
Direxion Shares Implied Volatility | 1.11 |
Direxion Shares' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Direxion Shares ETF stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Direxion Shares' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Direxion Shares stock will not fluctuate a lot when Direxion Shares' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Direxion Shares to buy its etf at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Direxion because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell etfs at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Direxion Shares after-hype prediction price | USD 17.58 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Direxion contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Direxion Shares ETF will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0694% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With Direxion Shares trading at USD 17.7, that is roughly USD 0.0123 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Direxion Shares' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Direxion Shares ETF options at the current volatility level of 1.11%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Direxion | Build AI portfolio with Direxion Etf |
Direxion Shares After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Direxion Shares at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Direxion Shares or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Direxion Shares, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Direxion Shares Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Direxion Shares' etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Direxion Shares' historical news coverage. Direxion Shares' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.74 and 24.42, respectively. We have considered Direxion Shares' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Direxion Shares is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Direxion Shares ETF is based on 3 months time horizon.
Direxion Shares Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Direxion Shares is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Direxion Shares backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Direxion Shares, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.87 | 6.84 | 0.12 | 0.19 | 1 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
17.70 | 17.58 | 0.68 |
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Direxion Shares Hype Timeline
Direxion Shares ETF is now traded for 17.70. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.12, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.19. Direxion is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 17.58. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.68%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.87%. The volatility of related hype on Direxion Shares is about 3109.09%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 17.51. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Direxion Shares Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Direxion Shares Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Direxion Shares' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Direxion Shares' future price movements. Getting to know how Direxion Shares' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Direxion Shares may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DARP | Grizzle Growth ETF | (2.37) | 3 per month | 1.86 | 0.02 | 2.59 | (3.47) | 7.41 | |
| VERS | ProShares Metaverse ETF | 0.68 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 1.72 | (3.10) | 6.16 | |
| JOJO | Tidal ETF Trust | 0.02 | 3 per month | 0.15 | (0.17) | 0.46 | (0.39) | 1.54 | |
| QQJG | Invesco ESG NASDAQ | 0.07 | 1 per month | 1.16 | (0.07) | 1.72 | (1.85) | 4.52 | |
| NSCR | Nuveen Sustainable Core | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.90 | (0.1) | 1.31 | (1.59) | 3.84 | |
| TOT | Advisor Managed Portfolios | 0.01 | 1 per month | 0.84 | (0.07) | 1.17 | (1.30) | 3.68 | |
| IQRA | IndexIQ Active ETF | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.34 | 0.04 | 0.86 | (0.72) | 2.42 | |
| BBB | CYBER HORNET SP | (0.25) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 1.66 | (2.04) | 5.43 | |
| INDH | WisdomTree India Hedged | (0.29) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 0.92 | (1.10) | 3.44 | |
| BERZ | MicroSectors Solactive FANG | (0.07) | 1 per month | 4.22 | 0.08 | 10.53 | (7.09) | 26.04 |
Direxion Shares Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Direxion price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Direxion using various technical indicators. When you analyze Direxion charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Direxion Shares Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Direxion Shares stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Direxion Shares ETF, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Direxion Shares based on analysis of Direxion Shares hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Direxion Shares's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Direxion Shares's related companies.
Pair Trading with Direxion Shares
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Direxion Shares position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Direxion Shares will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Direxion Etf
Moving against Direxion Etf
| 0.51 | LABU | Direxion Daily SP | PairCorr |
| 0.47 | AHYB | American Century ETF | PairCorr |
| 0.47 | BINC | BlackRock ETF Trust | PairCorr |
| 0.44 | RDIV | Invesco SP Ultra | PairCorr |
| 0.36 | NRGU | Bank of Montreal | PairCorr |
| 0.33 | OASC | OneAscent Small Cap | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Direxion Shares could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Direxion Shares when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Direxion Shares - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Direxion Shares ETF to buy it.
The correlation of Direxion Shares is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Direxion Shares moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Direxion Shares ETF moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Direxion Shares can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Direxion Shares Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Direxion Shares ETF's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Direxion's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Direxion Shares' intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Direxion Shares' trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Understanding that Direxion Shares' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Direxion Shares represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. However, Direxion Shares' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.