Live Oak Health Fund Price Prediction

LOGSX Fund  USD 21.98  0.10  0.46%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Live Oak's the mutual fund price is slightly above 66. This indicates that the mutual fund is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling LIVE, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

66

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Live Oak's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Live Oak Health, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Live Oak hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Live Oak Health from the perspective of Live Oak response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Live Oak to buy its mutual fund at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying LIVE because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell mutual funds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Live Oak after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 22.01  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Live Oak Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Live Oak's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.2922.0722.85
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
20.5821.3622.13
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
21.1222.0422.97
Details

Live Oak After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Live Oak at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Live Oak or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Live Oak, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Live Oak Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Live Oak's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Live Oak's historical news coverage. Live Oak's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 21.23 and 22.79, respectively. We have considered Live Oak's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
21.98
22.01
After-hype Price
22.79
Upside
Live Oak is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Live Oak Health is based on 3 months time horizon.

Live Oak Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Live Oak is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Live Oak backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Live Oak, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.07 
0.78
  0.03 
 0.00  
1 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
21.98
22.01
0.14 
205.26  
Notes

Live Oak Hype Timeline

Live Oak Health is now traded for 21.98. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. LIVE is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 22.01 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.14%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.07%. The volatility of related hype on Live Oak is about 1950.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 21.98. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be very soon.
Check out Live Oak Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Live Oak Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Live Oak's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Live Oak's future price movements. Getting to know how Live Oak's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Live Oak may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Live Oak Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine LIVE price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for LIVE using various technical indicators. When you analyze LIVE charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Live Oak Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Live Oak stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Live Oak Health, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Live Oak based on analysis of Live Oak hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Live Oak's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Live Oak's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Live Oak

The number of cover stories for Live Oak depends on current market conditions and Live Oak's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Live Oak is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Live Oak's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in LIVE Mutual Fund

Live Oak financial ratios help investors to determine whether LIVE Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in LIVE with respect to the benefits of owning Live Oak security.
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