Grand Canyon Education Stock Price Patterns

LOPE Stock  USD 173.99  1.45  0.84%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Grand Canyon's stock price is about 66. This indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Grand, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 66

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Grand Canyon's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Grand Canyon and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Grand Canyon's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Grand Canyon Education, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Grand Canyon's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.59)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
3.1933
EPS Estimate Current Year
9.08
EPS Estimate Next Year
9.9333
Wall Street Target Price
222.6667
Using Grand Canyon hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Grand Canyon Education from the perspective of Grand Canyon response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Grand Canyon using Grand Canyon's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Grand using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Grand Canyon's stock price.

Grand Canyon Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Grand Canyon's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Grand. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Grand Canyon stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
185.7145
Short Percent
0.0363
Short Ratio
2.33
Shares Short Prior Month
767.4 K
50 Day MA
166.2298

Grand Canyon Education Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Grand Canyon's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Grand. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Grand can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Grand Canyon Education. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Grand Canyon's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Grand Canyon.

Grand Canyon Implied Volatility

    
  0.52  
Grand Canyon's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Grand Canyon Education stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Grand Canyon's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Grand Canyon stock will not fluctuate a lot when Grand Canyon's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Grand Canyon to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Grand because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Grand Canyon after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 172.54  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Grand contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Grand Canyon Education will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0325% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Grand Canyon trading at USD 173.99, that is roughly USD 0.0565 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Grand Canyon's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Grand Canyon Education options at the current volatility level of 0.52%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Grand Canyon Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
139.50141.26189.79
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
168.43170.20171.96
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
202.63222.67247.16
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
2.452.482.52
Details

Grand Canyon After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Grand Canyon at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Grand Canyon or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Grand Canyon, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Grand Canyon Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Grand Canyon's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Grand Canyon's historical news coverage. Grand Canyon's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 170.78 and 174.30, respectively. We have considered Grand Canyon's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
173.99
170.78
Downside
172.54
After-hype Price
174.30
Upside
Grand Canyon is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Grand Canyon Education is based on 3 months time horizon.

Grand Canyon Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Grand Canyon is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Grand Canyon backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Grand Canyon, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.08 
1.76
  0.69 
  0.24 
11 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
173.99
172.54
0.00 
20.30  
Notes

Grand Canyon Hype Timeline

Grand Canyon Education is now traded for 173.99. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.69, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.24. Grand is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 20.3%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.08%. %. The volatility of related hype on Grand Canyon is about 58.12%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 174.23. About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.14. Grand Canyon Education recorded earning per share (EPS) of 7.42. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 11 days.
Check out Grand Canyon Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Grand Canyon Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Grand Canyon's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Grand Canyon's future price movements. Getting to know how Grand Canyon's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Grand Canyon may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
LRNStride Inc(0.65)10 per month 0.00 (0.08) 3.18 (3.66) 54.96 
ATGEAdtalem Global Education(1.10)11 per month 0.00 (0.11) 3.21 (4.29) 31.43 
TALTAL Education Group 0.09 7 per month 2.11  0  5.32 (3.66) 14.18 
LAURLaureate Education 0.96 9 per month 1.95  0.08  3.64 (2.34) 18.76 
POSTPost Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.11) 1.92 (2.40) 8.84 
GHCGraham Holdings Co 28.11 10 per month 1.00  0.09  2.72 (1.85) 7.85 
EDUNew Oriental Education(0.64)10 per month 1.83 (0.02) 3.64 (3.35) 8.57 
MZTIThe Marzetti 3.67 8 per month 1.14 (0.02) 1.98 (1.93) 12.08 
STRAStrategic Education 0.38 11 per month 2.21 (0.01) 2.32 (4.08) 12.29 
DARDarling Ingredients(0.54)9 per month 1.49  0.18  4.51 (2.74) 10.67 

Grand Canyon Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Grand price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Grand using various technical indicators. When you analyze Grand charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Grand Canyon Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Grand Canyon stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Grand Canyon Education, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Grand Canyon based on analysis of Grand Canyon hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Grand Canyon's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Grand Canyon's related companies.
 2025 2026 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.0020260.001375
Price To Sales Ratio4.152.83

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When running Grand Canyon's price analysis, check to measure Grand Canyon's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Grand Canyon is operating at the current time. Most of Grand Canyon's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Grand Canyon's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Grand Canyon's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Grand Canyon to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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