The Lovesac Stock Price Prediction
| LOVE Stock | USD 14.08 0.51 3.50% |
Momentum 65
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.142 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.36 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.96 | Wall Street Target Price 24.6667 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.46) |
Using Lovesac hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of The Lovesac from the perspective of Lovesac response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Lovesac using Lovesac's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Lovesac using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Lovesac's stock price.
Lovesac Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Lovesac's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Lovesac. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Lovesac stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 17.1119 | Short Percent 0.289 | Short Ratio 7.03 | Shares Short Prior Month 4 M | 50 Day MA 14.1438 |
Lovesac Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Lovesac's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Lovesac. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Lovesac can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around The Lovesac. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Lovesac's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Lovesac.
Lovesac Implied Volatility | 0.96 |
Lovesac's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of The Lovesac stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Lovesac's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Lovesac stock will not fluctuate a lot when Lovesac's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Lovesac to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Lovesac because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Lovesac after-hype prediction price | USD 14.08 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Lovesac contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that The Lovesac will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.06% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Lovesac trading at USD 14.08, that is roughly USD 0.008448 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Lovesac's daily price movement you should consider acquiring The Lovesac options at the current volatility level of 0.96%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Lovesac Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lovesac's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Lovesac After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Lovesac at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lovesac or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Lovesac, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Lovesac Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Lovesac's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lovesac's historical news coverage. Lovesac's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.40 and 17.76, respectively. We have considered Lovesac's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Lovesac is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lovesac is based on 3 months time horizon.
Lovesac Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lovesac is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lovesac backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lovesac, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.09 | 3.70 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 8 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
14.08 | 14.08 | 0.00 |
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Lovesac Hype Timeline
Lovesac is now traded for 14.08. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Lovesac is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.09%. %. The volatility of related hype on Lovesac is about 3936.17%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 14.09. About 90.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.09. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Lovesac has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.3. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Lovesac Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Lovesac Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Lovesac's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lovesac's future price movements. Getting to know how Lovesac's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lovesac may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VIOT | Viomi Technology ADR | (0.48) | 31 per month | 0.00 | (0.41) | 4.88 | (6.60) | 17.65 | |
| FLXS | Flexsteel Industries | 0.82 | 8 per month | 1.72 | 0.05 | 5.22 | (3.18) | 9.20 | |
| HBB | Hamilton Beach Brands | (0.30) | 6 per month | 1.92 | 0.11 | 5.68 | (3.74) | 17.33 | |
| INSE | Inspired Entertainment | 0.21 | 24 per month | 2.71 | 0.04 | 3.97 | (4.58) | 18.56 | |
| GHG | GreenTree Hospitality Group | (0.1) | 24 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 3.47 | (4.27) | 9.17 | |
| RCKY | Rocky Brands | (0.1) | 18 per month | 1.04 | 0.10 | 3.51 | (2.25) | 9.05 | |
| RICK | RCI Hospitality Holdings | 0.99 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 4.38 | (4.42) | 19.06 | |
| DENN | Dennys Corp | (0.1) | 4 per month | 0.25 | 0.12 | 0.98 | (0.32) | 51.18 | |
| TWNP | Twin Hospitality Group | (0.1) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.38) | 6.74 | (13.69) | 45.41 | |
| SEV | Aptera Motors Corp | 0.1 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 9.87 | (18.36) | 95.55 |
Lovesac Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Lovesac price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lovesac using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lovesac charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Lovesac Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Lovesac stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as The Lovesac, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Lovesac based on analysis of Lovesac hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Lovesac's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Lovesac's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 7.02 | 9.0 | 8.1 | 6.0 | PTB Ratio | 1.64 | 1.83 | 2.11 | 2.0 |
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| HITI | High Tide | |
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Complementary Tools for Lovesac Stock analysis
When running Lovesac's price analysis, check to measure Lovesac's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lovesac is operating at the current time. Most of Lovesac's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lovesac's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lovesac's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lovesac to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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