Magc Etf Price Prediction
| MAGC Etf | 24.74 0.14 0.56% |
Momentum 41
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using MAGC hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of MAGC from the perspective of MAGC response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards MAGC using MAGC's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards MAGC using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of MAGC's stock price.
MAGC Implied Volatility | 0.45 |
MAGC's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of MAGC stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if MAGC's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that MAGC stock will not fluctuate a lot when MAGC's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in MAGC to buy its etf at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying MAGC because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell etfs at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
MAGC after-hype prediction price | USD 24.75 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current MAGC contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that MAGC will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0281% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With MAGC trading at USD 24.74, that is roughly USD 0.006958 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating MAGC's daily price movement you should consider acquiring MAGC options at the current volatility level of 0.45%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out MAGC Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. MAGC Estimiated After-Hype Price Prediction Volatility
As far as predicting the price of MAGC at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in MAGC or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of MAGC, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
MAGC Etf Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as MAGC is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading MAGC backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with MAGC, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.22 | 1.49 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 2 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
24.74 | 24.75 | 0.04 |
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MAGC Hype Timeline
MAGC is now traded for 24.74. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. MAGC is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 24.75 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is anticipated to be 0.04%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.22%. The volatility of related hype on MAGC is about 4190.62%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 24.75. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out MAGC Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.MAGC Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to MAGC's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict MAGC's future price movements. Getting to know how MAGC's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how MAGC may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DIVB | iShares Dividend and | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.66 | (0.0007) | 1.06 | (1.05) | 3.03 | |
| MCSE | Martin Currie Sustainable | 0.08 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 1.26 | (1.71) | 4.93 | |
| FV | First Trust Dorsey | (0.25) | 3 per month | 0.93 | (0.02) | 1.30 | (1.49) | 3.28 | |
| GK | AdvisorShares Gerber Kawasaki | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.27 | (0.05) | 1.59 | (2.18) | 5.15 | |
| MEME | Roundhill ETF Trust | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 11.52 | (9.19) | 25.27 | |
| METV | Roundhill Ball Metaverse | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.62 | (3.00) | 6.51 | |
| DMAT | Global X Disruptive | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.96 | 0.11 | 2.61 | (3.25) | 13.99 | |
| DMCY | Democracy International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.75 | 0.02 | 0.91 | (1.15) | 3.09 | |
| DMXF | iShares ESG Advanced | 0.49 | 4 per month | 0.88 | (0.02) | 1.09 | (1.31) | 2.96 |
MAGC Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine MAGC price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for MAGC using various technical indicators. When you analyze MAGC charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About MAGC Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of MAGC stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as MAGC, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of MAGC based on analysis of MAGC hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to MAGC's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to MAGC's related companies.
Story Coverage note for MAGC
The number of cover stories for MAGC depends on current market conditions and MAGC's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that MAGC is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about MAGC's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out MAGC Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.
The market value of MAGC is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of MAGC that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of MAGC's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is MAGC's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because MAGC's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect MAGC's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between MAGC's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if MAGC is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, MAGC's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.