Malibu Boats Stock Price Prediction
| MBUU Stock | USD 31.97 0.09 0.28% |
Momentum 74
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.75) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.3188 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.27 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.017 | Wall Street Target Price 34.8333 |
Using Malibu Boats hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Malibu Boats from the perspective of Malibu Boats response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Malibu Boats using Malibu Boats' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Malibu using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Malibu Boats' stock price.
Malibu Boats Short Interest
An investor who is long Malibu Boats may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Malibu Boats and may potentially protect profits, hedge Malibu Boats with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 31.2954 | Short Percent 0.0681 | Short Ratio 7.18 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.2 M | 50 Day MA 29.4839 |
Malibu Boats Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Malibu Boats' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Malibu. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Malibu can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Malibu Boats. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Malibu Boats' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Malibu Boats.
Malibu Boats Implied Volatility | 0.6 |
Malibu Boats' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Malibu Boats stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Malibu Boats' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Malibu Boats stock will not fluctuate a lot when Malibu Boats' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Malibu Boats to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Malibu because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Malibu Boats after-hype prediction price | USD 31.59 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Malibu contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Malibu Boats will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0375% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Malibu Boats trading at USD 31.97, that is roughly USD 0.012 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Malibu Boats' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Malibu Boats options at the current volatility level of 0.6%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Malibu Boats Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Malibu Boats' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Malibu Boats After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Malibu Boats at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Malibu Boats or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Malibu Boats, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Malibu Boats Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Malibu Boats' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Malibu Boats' historical news coverage. Malibu Boats' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 29.19 and 33.99, respectively. We have considered Malibu Boats' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Malibu Boats is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Malibu Boats is based on 3 months time horizon.
Malibu Boats Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Malibu Boats is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Malibu Boats backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Malibu Boats, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.25 | 2.40 | 0.11 | 0.09 | 9 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
31.97 | 31.59 | 0.91 |
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Malibu Boats Hype Timeline
Malibu Boats is now traded for 31.97. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.11, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.09. Malibu is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 31.59. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.91%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.25%. The volatility of related hype on Malibu Boats is about 697.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 32.06. About 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.21. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Malibu Boats has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.54. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Malibu Boats Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Malibu Boats Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Malibu Boats' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Malibu Boats' future price movements. Getting to know how Malibu Boats' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Malibu Boats may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CPS | Cooper Stnd | (0.60) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 5.82 | (5.11) | 17.94 | |
| MCFT | MCBC Holdings | 0.37 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 4.21 | (4.27) | 12.82 | |
| BWMX | Betterware de Mxico | 1.49 | 9 per month | 1.44 | 0.18 | 3.90 | (2.45) | 16.38 | |
| GDEN | Golden Entertainment | (0.29) | 7 per month | 1.46 | 0.07 | 2.51 | (2.31) | 37.11 | |
| HZO | MarineMax | (0.1) | 10 per month | 2.79 | 0 | 6.76 | (4.50) | 16.01 | |
| LEGH | Legacy Housing Corp | 0.20 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.90 | (3.99) | 10.51 | |
| MPX | Marine Products | 0.1 | 10 per month | 2.35 | 0.02 | 3.53 | (3.49) | 10.53 | |
| PBPB | Potbelly Co | 1.23 | 27 per month | 1.10 | 0.11 | 2.91 | (3.50) | 31.44 | |
| PSNY | Polestar Automotive Holding | 1.03 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 12.04 | (14.88) | 34.99 | |
| ARKO | Arko Corp | 0.01 | 13 per month | 2.63 | 0.1 | 5.91 | (2.93) | 18.08 |
Malibu Boats Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Malibu price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Malibu using various technical indicators. When you analyze Malibu charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Malibu Boats Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Malibu Boats stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Malibu Boats, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Malibu Boats based on analysis of Malibu Boats hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Malibu Boats's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Malibu Boats's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 35.61 | 27.17 | 16.23 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 77.92 | 78.21 | 41.75 |
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Additional Tools for Malibu Stock Analysis
When running Malibu Boats' price analysis, check to measure Malibu Boats' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Malibu Boats is operating at the current time. Most of Malibu Boats' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Malibu Boats' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Malibu Boats' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Malibu Boats to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.