Mcga Stock Price Prediction
| MCGA Stock | 10.12 0.02 0.20% |
Momentum 30
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using MCGA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of MCGA from the perspective of MCGA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards MCGA using MCGA's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards MCGA using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of MCGA's stock price.
MCGA Implied Volatility | 1.94 |
MCGA's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of MCGA stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if MCGA's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that MCGA stock will not fluctuate a lot when MCGA's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in MCGA to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying MCGA because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
MCGA after-hype prediction price | USD 10.1 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current MCGA contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that MCGA will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.12% per day over the life of the 2026-02-20 option contract. With MCGA trading at USD 10.12, that is roughly USD 0.0123 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating MCGA's daily price movement you should consider acquiring MCGA options at the current volatility level of 1.94%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out MCGA Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. MCGA After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of MCGA at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in MCGA or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of MCGA, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
MCGA Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting MCGA's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on MCGA's historical news coverage. MCGA's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.75 and 10.45, respectively. We have considered MCGA's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
MCGA is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of MCGA is based on 3 months time horizon.
MCGA Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as MCGA is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading MCGA backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with MCGA, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
10.12 | 10.10 | 0.00 |
|
MCGA Hype Timeline
MCGA is now traded for 10.12. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. MCGA is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.08%. %. The volatility of related hype on MCGA is about 1166.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.12. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days. Check out MCGA Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.MCGA Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to MCGA's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict MCGA's future price movements. Getting to know how MCGA's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how MCGA may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EARN | Ellington Residential Mortgage | (0.03) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.17 | (2.21) | 5.70 | |
| MCGAU | MCGAU | 0.02 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.56) | 0.54 | (0.73) | 1.79 | |
| OXSQ | Oxford Square Capital | 0.01 | 9 per month | 1.75 | 0.03 | 4.35 | (3.30) | 11.31 | |
| SOCA | Solarius Capital Acquisition | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.13 | (0.38) | 0.40 | (0.30) | 1.10 | |
| ETHM | Dynamix | (0.01) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.32) | 0.68 | (0.95) | 2.17 | |
| SWKH | SWK Holdings Corp | (0.13) | 9 per month | 0.73 | 0.08 | 2.14 | (1.37) | 19.13 | |
| SSSS | SuRo Capital Corp | (0.07) | 12 per month | 2.06 | 0.03 | 4.27 | (3.83) | 17.41 |
MCGA Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine MCGA price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for MCGA using various technical indicators. When you analyze MCGA charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About MCGA Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of MCGA stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as MCGA, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of MCGA based on analysis of MCGA hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to MCGA's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to MCGA's related companies.
Story Coverage note for MCGA
The number of cover stories for MCGA depends on current market conditions and MCGA's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that MCGA is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about MCGA's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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Complementary Tools for MCGA Stock analysis
When running MCGA's price analysis, check to measure MCGA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MCGA is operating at the current time. Most of MCGA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MCGA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MCGA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MCGA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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