Mercer International Stock Price Prediction
| MERC Stock | USD 2.37 0.09 3.66% |
Momentum 73
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.73) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.76) | EPS Estimate Current Year (3.71) | EPS Estimate Next Year (1.54) | Wall Street Target Price 2 |
Using Mercer International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Mercer International from the perspective of Mercer International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Mercer International using Mercer International's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Mercer using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Mercer International's stock price.
Mercer International Implied Volatility | 2.29 |
Mercer International's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Mercer International stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Mercer International's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Mercer International stock will not fluctuate a lot when Mercer International's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Mercer International to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Mercer because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Mercer International after-hype prediction price | USD 2.38 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Mercer contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Mercer International will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.14% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Mercer International trading at USD 2.37, that is roughly USD 0.003392 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Mercer International's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Mercer International options at the current volatility level of 2.29%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Mercer International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Mercer International After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Mercer International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Mercer International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Mercer International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Mercer International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Mercer International's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Mercer International's historical news coverage. Mercer International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.12 and 7.00, respectively. We have considered Mercer International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Mercer International is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Mercer International is based on 3 months time horizon.
Mercer International Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Mercer International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Mercer International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Mercer International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.15 | 4.62 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 8 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
2.37 | 2.38 | 0.42 |
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Mercer International Hype Timeline
Mercer International is now traded for 2.37. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Mercer is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 2.38 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.42%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.15%. The volatility of related hype on Mercer International is about 8105.26%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.36. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.04 B. Net Loss for the year was (85.14 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 211.82 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Mercer International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Mercer International Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Mercer International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Mercer International's future price movements. Getting to know how Mercer International's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Mercer International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AVD | American Vanguard | (0.19) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.95 | (6.33) | 13.30 | |
| AEC | Anfield Energy | (0.08) | 6 per month | 4.95 | 0.05 | 11.26 | (8.72) | 26.21 | |
| LVRO | Lavoro Limited Class | (0.01) | 5 per month | 6.26 | 0.03 | 12.33 | (13.33) | 160.48 | |
| BIOX | Bioceres Crop Solutions | (0.09) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 8.70 | (8.37) | 26.94 | |
| USGO | US GoldMining Common | (0.08) | 9 per month | 3.31 | 0.08 | 9.48 | (6.74) | 16.69 | |
| FEAM | 5E Advanced Materials | 0.03 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 8.84 | (9.72) | 25.12 | |
| FURY | Fury Gold Mines | 0.01 | 7 per month | 3.53 | 0.07 | 9.09 | (6.35) | 27.18 | |
| GRO | Brazil Potash Corp | (0.05) | 8 per month | 4.14 | 0.05 | 6.53 | (6.56) | 16.70 | |
| ACNT | Synalloy | (0.01) | 9 per month | 0.91 | 0.19 | 4.58 | (2.17) | 10.64 | |
| NVA | Nova Minerals Limited | (0.1) | 8 per month | 10.19 | 0.09 | 15.38 | (18.10) | 138.18 |
Mercer International Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Mercer price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Mercer using various technical indicators. When you analyze Mercer charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Mercer International Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Mercer International stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Mercer International, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Mercer International based on analysis of Mercer International hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Mercer International's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Mercer International's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0317 | 0.0462 | 0.0416 | 0.0215 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.32 | 0.21 | 0.24 | 0.23 |
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.| HITI | High Tide | |
| HITI | High Tide | |
| BAC | Bank of America |
Complementary Tools for Mercer Stock analysis
When running Mercer International's price analysis, check to measure Mercer International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mercer International is operating at the current time. Most of Mercer International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mercer International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mercer International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mercer International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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