Mainstay Moderate Growth Fund Price Prediction
| MGDBX Fund | USD 16.65 0.05 0.30% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
48
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Mainstay Moderate hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Mainstay Moderate Growth from the perspective of Mainstay Moderate response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Mainstay Moderate to buy its mutual fund at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Mainstay because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell mutual funds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Mainstay Moderate after-hype prediction price | USD 16.6 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Mainstay |
Mainstay Moderate After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Mainstay Moderate at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Mainstay Moderate or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Mainstay Moderate, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Mainstay Moderate Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Mainstay Moderate's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Mainstay Moderate's historical news coverage. Mainstay Moderate's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 16.04 and 17.16, respectively. We have considered Mainstay Moderate's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Mainstay Moderate is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Mainstay Moderate Growth is based on 3 months time horizon.
Mainstay Moderate Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Mainstay Moderate is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Mainstay Moderate backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Mainstay Moderate, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.09 | 0.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
16.65 | 16.60 | 0.00 |
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Mainstay Moderate Hype Timeline
Mainstay Moderate Growth is now traded for 16.65. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Mainstay is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.09%. %. The volatility of related hype on Mainstay Moderate is about 3200.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 16.65. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.77. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Mainstay Moderate Growth last dividend was issued on the 30th of December 1970. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Mainstay Moderate Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Mainstay Moderate Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Mainstay Moderate's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Mainstay Moderate's future price movements. Getting to know how Mainstay Moderate's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Mainstay Moderate may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FAIFX | American Funds The | (0.03) | 1 per month | 0.32 | (0.20) | 0.68 | (0.72) | 1.82 | |
| IFAFX | Income Fund Of | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.32 | (0.20) | 0.68 | (0.73) | 1.81 | |
| AMECX | Income Fund Of | (0.04) | 2 per month | 0.32 | (0.20) | 0.68 | (0.72) | 1.81 | |
| CIMCX | Income Fund Of | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.33 | (0.21) | 0.66 | (0.73) | 1.82 |
Mainstay Moderate Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Mainstay price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Mainstay using various technical indicators. When you analyze Mainstay charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About Mainstay Moderate Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Mainstay Moderate stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Mainstay Moderate Growth, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Mainstay Moderate based on analysis of Mainstay Moderate hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Mainstay Moderate's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Mainstay Moderate's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Mainstay Moderate
The number of cover stories for Mainstay Moderate depends on current market conditions and Mainstay Moderate's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Mainstay Moderate is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Mainstay Moderate's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Mainstay Mutual Fund
Mainstay Moderate financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mainstay Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mainstay with respect to the benefits of owning Mainstay Moderate security.
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