Morgan Group Holding Stock Price Patterns
| MGHL Stock | USD 2.03 0.02 1.00% |
Momentum 94
Buy Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Morgan Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Morgan Group Holding from the perspective of Morgan Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Morgan Group to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Morgan because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Morgan Group after-hype prediction price | USD 1.79 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Morgan |
Morgan Group After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Morgan Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Morgan Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Morgan Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Morgan Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Morgan Group's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Morgan Group's historical news coverage. Morgan Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.09 and 6.22, respectively. We have considered Morgan Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Morgan Group is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Morgan Group Holding is based on 3 months time horizon.
Morgan Group Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Morgan Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Morgan Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Morgan Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.63 | 4.43 | 1.23 | 0.00 | 1 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
2.03 | 1.79 | 11.60 |
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Morgan Group Hype Timeline
Morgan Group Holding is now traded for 2.03. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -1.23, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Morgan is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 1.79. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -11.6%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.63%. The volatility of related hype on Morgan Group is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.03. About 96.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.37. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Morgan Group Holding recorded a loss per share of 2.26. The entity last dividend was issued on the 11th of June 2020. The firm had 1:100 split on the 11th of June 2020. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Morgan Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Morgan Group Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Morgan Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Morgan Group's future price movements. Getting to know how Morgan Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Morgan Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| JMON | James Monroe Capital | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| GNCNF | Gencan Capital | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| PIHG | Plural Industry Holding | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.15 | 3.85 | 0.00 | 78.57 | |
| IDEA | Aeon Ventures | 0.00 | 0 per month | 10.18 | 0.02 | 16.00 | (28.30) | 143.02 | |
| TFGL | Nuvonyx | 0.00 | 0 per month | 14.81 | 0.19 | 68.75 | (34.00) | 303.67 | |
| TMOL | Trimol Group | 0.00 | 4 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| BFCH | BitFrontier Capital Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 9.81 | 0 | 20.00 | (21.43) | 52.27 | |
| NIHL | New Infinity Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 12.01 | 0.07 | 0.00 | (29.33) | 402.17 | |
| IVFZF | Invictus Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 50.00 | |
| CRVH | Chilco River Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.54 | 0.12 | 30.00 | (12.00) | 89.54 |
Morgan Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Morgan price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Morgan using various technical indicators. When you analyze Morgan charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Morgan Group Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Morgan Group stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Morgan Group Holding, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Morgan Group based on analysis of Morgan Group hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Morgan Group's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Morgan Group's related companies.
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Try AI Portfolio ProphetOther Information on Investing in Morgan Pink Sheet
Morgan Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether Morgan Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Morgan with respect to the benefits of owning Morgan Group security.