Megan Holdings Limited Stock Price Prediction
| MGN Stock | 1.67 0.13 7.22% |
Momentum 47
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Megan Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Megan Holdings Limited from the perspective of Megan Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Megan Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Megan because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Megan Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 1.66 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Megan Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Megan Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Megan Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Megan Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Megan Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Megan Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Megan Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Megan Holdings' historical news coverage. Megan Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.08 and 9.36, respectively. We have considered Megan Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Megan Holdings is extremely dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Megan Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Megan Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Megan Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Megan Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Megan Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.72 | 7.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1.67 | 1.66 | 0.60 |
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Megan Holdings Hype Timeline
On the 28th of December Megan Holdings is traded for 1.67. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Megan is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 1.66. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.6%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.72%. The volatility of related hype on Megan Holdings is about 128333.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.67. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.08. Megan Holdings had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 3:1 split on the October 2, 2000. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Megan Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Megan Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Megan Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Megan Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Megan Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Megan Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MSW | Ming Shing Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 10.99 | (15.28) | 31.70 | |
| WXM | WF International Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 7.41 | (18.29) | 59.74 | |
| TRSG | Tungray Technologies Class | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 6.48 | (5.19) | 20.28 | |
| BTOC | Armlogi Holding Corp | 0.04 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 6.35 | (9.09) | 20.70 | |
| GLBS | Globus Maritime | 0.02 | 9 per month | 3.54 | 0.12 | 12.58 | (7.01) | 26.30 | |
| BURU | Nuburu Inc | (0.02) | 9 per month | 8.32 | 0.08 | 24.14 | (14.71) | 113.85 | |
| SGRP | SPAR Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 3.49 | (3.66) | 17.23 | |
| RVSN | Rail Vision Ltd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 6.26 | 0.02 | 16.13 | (9.23) | 76.11 | |
| LIQT | LiqTech International | 0.03 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 7.86 | (8.87) | 22.22 | |
| PRZO | ParaZero Technologies Ltd | (0.01) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 8.48 | (8.39) | 20.04 |
Megan Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Megan price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Megan using various technical indicators. When you analyze Megan charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Megan Holdings Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Megan Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Megan Holdings Limited, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Megan Holdings based on analysis of Megan Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Megan Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Megan Holdings's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Megan Holdings
The number of cover stories for Megan Holdings depends on current market conditions and Megan Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Megan Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Megan Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Megan Holdings Short Properties
Megan Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Megan Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Megan Holdings Limited often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Megan Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Megan Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 16.2 M | |
| Short Term Investments | 22.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 22.6 M |
Check out Megan Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Bonds Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.
Is Engineering & Construction space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Megan Holdings. If investors know Megan will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Megan Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Megan Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Megan that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Megan Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Megan Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Megan Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Megan Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Megan Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Megan Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Megan Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.