Vaneck Long Muni Etf Price Patterns
| MLN Etf | USD 17.52 0.00 0.00% |
Momentum 36
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using VanEck Long hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of VanEck Long Muni from the perspective of VanEck Long response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards VanEck Long using VanEck Long's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards VanEck using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of VanEck Long's stock price.
VanEck Long Implied Volatility | 0.35 |
VanEck Long's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of VanEck Long Muni stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if VanEck Long's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that VanEck Long stock will not fluctuate a lot when VanEck Long's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in VanEck Long to buy its etf at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying VanEck because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell etfs at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
VanEck Long after-hype prediction price | USD 17.52 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current VanEck contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that VanEck Long Muni will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0219% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With VanEck Long trading at USD 17.52, that is roughly USD 0.003833 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating VanEck Long's daily price movement you should consider acquiring VanEck Long Muni options at the current volatility level of 0.35%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out VanEck Long Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. VanEck Long After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of VanEck Long at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in VanEck Long or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of VanEck Long, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
VanEck Long Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting VanEck Long's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on VanEck Long's historical news coverage. VanEck Long's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.30 and 17.74, respectively. We have considered VanEck Long's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
VanEck Long is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of VanEck Long Muni is based on 3 months time horizon.
VanEck Long Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as VanEck Long is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading VanEck Long backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with VanEck Long, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
17.52 | 17.52 | 0.00 |
|
VanEck Long Hype Timeline
On the 2nd of February VanEck Long Muni is traded for 17.52. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. VanEck is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on VanEck Long is about 147.65%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 17.52. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out VanEck Long Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.VanEck Long Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to VanEck Long's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict VanEck Long's future price movements. Getting to know how VanEck Long's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how VanEck Long may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SHYD | VanEck Short High | (0.05) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 0.22 | (0.13) | 0.57 | |
| HMOP | Hartford Municipal Opportunities | 0.07 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 0.23 | (0.20) | 0.72 | |
| FLCO | Franklin Liberty Investment | 0.01 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 0.37 | (0.42) | 0.92 | |
| FLHY | Franklin Liberty High | 0.02 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 0.29 | (0.25) | 0.75 | |
| DWM | WisdomTree International Equity | 0.23 | 1 per month | 0.55 | 0.09 | 1.11 | (1.14) | 3.11 | |
| USSG | Xtrackers MSCI USA | (0.61) | 3 per month | 0.93 | (0.01) | 1.02 | (1.43) | 4.28 | |
| IBMO | iShares iBonds Dec | 0.01 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.32) | 0.20 | (0.12) | 0.47 | |
| KCE | SPDR SP Capital | 2.07 | 1 per month | 1.23 | 0.01 | 1.67 | (2.42) | 5.96 | |
| LVHD | Legg Mason Low | (0.04) | 3 per month | 0.49 | 0.02 | 1.03 | (0.95) | 2.43 | |
| MOO | VanEck Agribusiness ETF | (0.22) | 5 per month | 0.65 | 0.13 | 1.76 | (1.26) | 3.66 |
VanEck Long Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine VanEck price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for VanEck using various technical indicators. When you analyze VanEck charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About VanEck Long Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of VanEck Long stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as VanEck Long Muni, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of VanEck Long based on analysis of VanEck Long hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to VanEck Long's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to VanEck Long's related companies.
Pair Trading with VanEck Long
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if VanEck Long position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in VanEck Long will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.The ability to find closely correlated positions to VanEck Long could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace VanEck Long when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back VanEck Long - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling VanEck Long Muni to buy it.
The correlation of VanEck Long is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as VanEck Long moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if VanEck Long Muni moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for VanEck Long can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out VanEck Long Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
The market value of VanEck Long Muni is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of VanEck that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of VanEck Long's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is VanEck Long's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because VanEck Long's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect VanEck Long's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that VanEck Long's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether VanEck Long represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, VanEck Long's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.