Merchants National Properties Stock Price Prediction
| MNPP Stock | USD 2,100 75.00 3.70% |
Momentum 59
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Merchants National hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Merchants National Properties from the perspective of Merchants National response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Merchants National to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Merchants because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Merchants National after-hype prediction price | USD 2100.27 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Merchants |
Merchants National After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Merchants National at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Merchants National or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Merchants National, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Merchants National Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Merchants National's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Merchants National's historical news coverage. Merchants National's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2,098 and 2,102, respectively. We have considered Merchants National's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Merchants National is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Merchants National is based on 3 months time horizon.
Merchants National Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Merchants National is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Merchants National backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Merchants National, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.13 | 1.93 | 0.27 | 0.09 | 8 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
2,100 | 2,100 | 0.01 |
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Merchants National Hype Timeline
Merchants National is now traded for 2,100. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.27, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.09. Merchants is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 2100.27 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 92.79%. The price gain on the next news is estimated to be 0.01%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.13%. The volatility of related hype on Merchants National is about 290.66%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2,100. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 16.34 M. Net Income was 12.26 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 15.58 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Merchants National Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Merchants National Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Merchants National's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Merchants National's future price movements. Getting to know how Merchants National's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Merchants National may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DDCCF | DIC Asset AG | 0.1 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.50 | (4.35) | 13.87 | |
| FRTCF | Far East Consortium | 0.1 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20.84 | |
| RNHEF | China Dili Group | 2.08 | 6 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SIUDF | Shanghai Industrial Urban | 2.08 | 6 per month | 0.00 | 0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 294.25 | |
| LVSDF | Lai Sun Development | 2.08 | 10 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| DLMI | Diamond Lake Minerals | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 49.89 | |
| SDWHF | Soundwill Holdings Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SYYNY | SYN prop e | 0.1 | 2 per month | 1.94 | 0.1 | 6.82 | (4.86) | 82.50 | |
| FRMUF | Firm Capital Property | 0.1 | 2 per month | 0.65 | (0.04) | 1.83 | (0.95) | 6.74 | |
| SHMSF | Shimao Services Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Merchants National Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Merchants price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Merchants using various technical indicators. When you analyze Merchants charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Merchants National Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Merchants National stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Merchants National Properties, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Merchants National based on analysis of Merchants National hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Merchants National's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Merchants National's related companies.
Pair Trading with Merchants National
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Merchants National position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Merchants National will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Merchants Pink Sheet
Moving against Merchants Pink Sheet
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Merchants National could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Merchants National when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Merchants National - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Merchants National Properties to buy it.
The correlation of Merchants National is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Merchants National moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Merchants National moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Merchants National can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for Merchants Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Merchants National's price analysis, check to measure Merchants National's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Merchants National is operating at the current time. Most of Merchants National's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Merchants National's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Merchants National's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Merchants National to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.