Studio City International Stock Price Prediction

MSC Stock  USD 6.50  0.15  2.26%   
At the present time, the relative strength indicator of Studio City's share price is approaching 47. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Studio City, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

47

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Studio City's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Studio City International, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Studio City's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
13.252
Wall Street Target Price
11
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.269
Using Studio City hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Studio City International from the perspective of Studio City response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Studio City International Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Studio City's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Studio. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Studio can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Studio City International. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Studio City's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Studio City.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Studio City to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Studio because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Studio City after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 6.68  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Studio City Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Studio City's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.318.3213.33
Details
0 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
10.0111.0012.21
Details

Studio City After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Studio City at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Studio City or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Studio City, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Studio City Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Studio City's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Studio City's historical news coverage. Studio City's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.67 and 11.69, respectively. We have considered Studio City's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
6.50
6.68
After-hype Price
11.69
Upside
Studio City is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Studio City International is based on 3 months time horizon.

Studio City Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Studio City is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Studio City backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Studio City, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.31 
5.02
  0.02 
 0.00  
11 Events / Month
9 Events / Month
In about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
6.50
6.68
0.45 
6,275  
Notes

Studio City Hype Timeline

On the 26th of November Studio City International is traded for 6.50. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Studio is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 6.68 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.45%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.31%. The volatility of related hype on Studio City is about 46016.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.50. The company reported the last year's revenue of 445.54 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (133.52 M) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (61.41 M). Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 11 days.
Check out Studio City Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Studio City Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Studio City's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Studio City's future price movements. Getting to know how Studio City's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Studio City may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
GDENGolden Entertainment 0.03 9 per month 1.57  0.01  3.76 (2.62) 8.10 
RRRRed Rock Resorts 1.54 8 per month 0.00 (0.14) 2.69 (3.09) 12.47 
CNTYCentury Casinos 0.20 7 per month 2.39  0.23  7.30 (4.88) 17.01 
BALYBallys Corp 0.09 10 per month 0.00 (0.24) 0.52 (0.40) 1.32 
VACMarriot Vacations Worldwide 0.76 7 per month 1.48  0.13  4.78 (3.21) 14.88 
BVHBluegreen Vacations Holding 0.18 34 per month 2.76  0.08  5.30 (3.44) 15.57 
MTNVail Resorts(2.33)12 per month 1.56 (0.01) 2.23 (3.03) 10.18 
MCRIMonarch Casino Resort(0.06)8 per month 0.80  0.08  1.87 (1.81) 7.86 
HGVHilton Grand Vacations(0.04)9 per month 1.59  0.05  3.51 (2.96) 9.00 
FLLFull House Resorts(0.15)9 per month 0.00 (0.07) 3.46 (2.99) 12.48 
CZRCaesars Entertainment(0.34)8 per month 2.38 (0.02) 4.33 (3.56) 14.60 

Studio City Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Studio price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Studio using various technical indicators. When you analyze Studio charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Studio City Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Studio City stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Studio City International, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Studio City based on analysis of Studio City hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Studio City's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Studio City's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 (projected)
Days Sales Outstanding54.4615.335.43
PTB Ratio0.521.211.71

Story Coverage note for Studio City

The number of cover stories for Studio City depends on current market conditions and Studio City's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Studio City is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Studio City's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Studio City Short Properties

Studio City's future price predictability will typically decrease when Studio City's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Studio City International often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Studio City's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Studio City's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding192.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments228 M

Complementary Tools for Studio Stock analysis

When running Studio City's price analysis, check to measure Studio City's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Studio City is operating at the current time. Most of Studio City's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Studio City's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Studio City's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Studio City to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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