Direxion Daily Msft Etf Price Prediction
| MSFU Etf | USD 30.98 9.51 23.49% |
Momentum 30
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Direxion Daily hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Direxion Daily MSFT from the perspective of Direxion Daily response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Direxion Daily using Direxion Daily's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Direxion using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Direxion Daily's stock price.
Direxion Daily Implied Volatility | 0.32 |
Direxion Daily's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Direxion Daily MSFT stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Direxion Daily's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Direxion Daily stock will not fluctuate a lot when Direxion Daily's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Direxion Daily to buy its etf at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Direxion because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell etfs at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Direxion Daily after-hype prediction price | USD 40.21 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Direxion contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Direxion Daily MSFT will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.02% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Direxion Daily trading at USD 30.98, that is roughly USD 0.006196 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Direxion Daily's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Direxion Daily MSFT options at the current volatility level of 0.32%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
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Direxion Daily After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Direxion Daily at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Direxion Daily or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Direxion Daily, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Direxion Daily Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Direxion Daily's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Direxion Daily's historical news coverage. Direxion Daily's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 37.60 and 42.82, respectively. We have considered Direxion Daily's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Direxion Daily is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Direxion Daily MSFT is based on 3 months time horizon.
Direxion Daily Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Direxion Daily is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Direxion Daily backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Direxion Daily, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.27 | 2.61 | 0.28 | 0.25 | 6 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
30.98 | 40.21 | 0.69 |
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Direxion Daily Hype Timeline
Direxion Daily MSFT is now traded for 30.98. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.28, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.25. Direxion is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 40.21. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.69%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.27%. The volatility of related hype on Direxion Daily is about 284.62%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 31.23. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Direxion Daily Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Direxion Daily Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Direxion Daily's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Direxion Daily's future price movements. Getting to know how Direxion Daily's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Direxion Daily may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| KORU | Direxion Daily South | 10.28 | 4 per month | 4.44 | 0.27 | 12.54 | (6.84) | 26.41 | |
| BLGR | Exchange Traded Concepts | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.10 | (0.04) | 1.26 | (1.72) | 4.84 | |
| GTEK | Goldman Sachs Future | 0.05 | 2 per month | 1.30 | 0.06 | 2.00 | (2.46) | 5.48 | |
| AFOS | ARS Focused Opportunity | 0.25 | 1 per month | 0.93 | 0.20 | 2.38 | (2.24) | 5.40 | |
| TOV | EA Series Trust | (0.14) | 2 per month | 0.80 | (0.02) | 1.23 | (1.25) | 3.72 | |
| POWA | Invesco Bloomberg Pricing | (0.60) | 2 per month | 0.66 | (0.05) | 1.18 | (0.92) | 3.80 | |
| PCGG | Litman Gregory Funds | 0.01 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 1.18 | (1.80) | 3.74 | |
| HEEM | iShares Currency Hedged | (0.72) | 3 per month | 0.35 | 0.16 | 1.76 | (1.05) | 3.77 | |
| QALT | SEI DBi Multi Strategy | 0.02 | 15 per month | 0.13 | (0.01) | 0.82 | (0.45) | 1.68 | |
| UMAR | Innovator SP 500 | 0.02 | 1 per month | 0.11 | (0.13) | 0.39 | (0.38) | 1.26 |
Direxion Daily Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Direxion price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Direxion using various technical indicators. When you analyze Direxion charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Direxion Daily Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Direxion Daily stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Direxion Daily MSFT, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Direxion Daily based on analysis of Direxion Daily hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Direxion Daily's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Direxion Daily's related companies.
Thematic Opportunities
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Check out Direxion Daily Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.
Investors evaluate Direxion Daily MSFT using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Direxion Daily's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Direxion Daily's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Direxion Daily's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Direxion Daily represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, Direxion Daily's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.