Mfs Virginia Municipal Fund Price Patterns

MSVAX Fund  USD 10.34  0.01  0.1%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Mfs Virginia's share price is above 70 at this time. This indicates that the mutual fund is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Mfs, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 70

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Mfs Virginia's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Mfs Virginia Municipal, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Mfs Virginia hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Mfs Virginia Municipal from the perspective of Mfs Virginia response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Mfs Virginia to buy its mutual fund at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Mfs because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell mutual funds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Mfs Virginia after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 10.34  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Mfs Virginia Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.399.5011.37
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.2710.3810.49
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.9410.3210.69
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Mfs Virginia. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Mfs Virginia's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Mfs Virginia's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Mfs Virginia Municipal.

Mfs Virginia After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Mfs Virginia at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Mfs Virginia or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Mfs Virginia, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Mfs Virginia Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Mfs Virginia's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Mfs Virginia's historical news coverage. Mfs Virginia's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.23 and 10.45, respectively. We have considered Mfs Virginia's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
10.34
10.34
After-hype Price
10.45
Upside
Mfs Virginia is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Mfs Virginia Municipal is based on 3 months time horizon.

Mfs Virginia Mutual Fund Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Mfs Virginia is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Mfs Virginia backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Mfs Virginia, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.02 
0.11
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
10.34
10.34
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Mfs Virginia Hype Timeline

Mfs Virginia Municipal is now traded for 10.34. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Mfs is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on Mfs Virginia is about 2200.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.34. The company last dividend was issued on the 1st of May 2000. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain.
Check out Mfs Virginia Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Mfs Virginia Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Mfs Virginia's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Mfs Virginia's future price movements. Getting to know how Mfs Virginia's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Mfs Virginia may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
LFTFXMfs Lifetime 2065 0.00 0 per month 0.46  0.10  1.18 (1.14) 4.33 
LFTJXMfs Lifetime 2065 0.05 2 per month 0.47  0.10  1.18 (1.21) 4.22 
LFTGXMfs Lifetime 2065 0.00 0 per month 0.45  0.10  1.09 (1.14) 4.35 
LFTHXMfs Lifetime 2065 0.00 0 per month 0.45  0.11  1.09 (1.15) 4.31 
LFTMXMfs Lifetime 2065 0.00 0 per month 0.46  0.11  1.18 (1.15) 4.31 
LFTNXMfs Lifetime 2065 0.00 0 per month 0.46  0.11  1.18 (1.15) 4.31 
LFTKXMfs Lifetime 2065 0.00 0 per month 0.44  0.11  1.09 (1.15) 4.31 
LFTLXMfs Lifetime 2065 0.00 0 per month 0.45  0.11  1.09 (1.14) 4.23 
HYPPXMfs High Yield 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.09) 0.24 (0.12) 1.08 
UIVIXMfs Intrinsic Value 0.00 0 per month 0.80 (0) 1.49 (1.39) 3.77 

Mfs Virginia Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Mfs price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Mfs using various technical indicators. When you analyze Mfs charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Mfs Virginia Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Mfs Virginia stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Mfs Virginia Municipal, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Mfs Virginia based on analysis of Mfs Virginia hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Mfs Virginia's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Mfs Virginia's related companies.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Mfs Mutual Fund

Mfs Virginia financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mfs Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mfs with respect to the benefits of owning Mfs Virginia security.
Idea Breakdown
Analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes
Money Flow Index
Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators
Companies Directory
Evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals
Idea Optimizer
Use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio