Mannatech Incorporated Stock Price Patterns
| MTEX Stock | USD 7.65 0.20 2.68% |
Momentum 44
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.957 | Wall Street Target Price 20 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.07) |
Using Mannatech Incorporated hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Mannatech Incorporated from the perspective of Mannatech Incorporated response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Mannatech Incorporated to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Mannatech because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Mannatech Incorporated after-hype prediction price | USD 7.65 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mannatech Incorporated's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Mannatech Incorporated After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Mannatech Incorporated at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Mannatech Incorporated or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Mannatech Incorporated, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Mannatech Incorporated Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Mannatech Incorporated's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Mannatech Incorporated's historical news coverage. Mannatech Incorporated's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.89 and 12.41, respectively. We have considered Mannatech Incorporated's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Mannatech Incorporated is moderately volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Mannatech Incorporated is based on 3 months time horizon.
Mannatech Incorporated Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Mannatech Incorporated is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Mannatech Incorporated backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Mannatech Incorporated, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.17 | 4.80 | 0.06 | 0.00 | 4 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
7.65 | 7.65 | 0.00 |
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Mannatech Incorporated Hype Timeline
Mannatech Incorporated is now traded for 7.65. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Mannatech is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.17%. %. The volatility of related hype on Mannatech Incorporated is about 18000.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.65. About 55.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Mannatech Incorporated was now reported as 3.14. The company recorded a loss per share of 2.05. Mannatech Incorporated last dividend was issued on the 14th of June 2023. The entity had 1:10 split on the 17th of January 2012. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Mannatech Incorporated Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Mannatech Incorporated Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Mannatech Incorporated's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Mannatech Incorporated's future price movements. Getting to know how Mannatech Incorporated's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Mannatech Incorporated may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EDTK | Skillful Craftsman Education | 0.03 | 8 per month | 2.52 | (0.02) | 4.12 | (4.76) | 12.61 | |
| NAII | Natural Alternatives International | (0.07) | 8 per month | 3.06 | 0.12 | 9.16 | (5.65) | 28.68 | |
| MWYN | Marwynn Holdings Common | 0.09 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 7.50 | (7.87) | 29.68 | |
| BTOG | Bit Origin | (0.20) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.33) | 8.29 | (13.91) | 52.92 | |
| WVVI | Willamette Valley Vineyards | (0.06) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 5.81 | (7.09) | 22.81 | |
| AACG | ATA Creativity Global | 0.04 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 8.89 | (8.51) | 21.67 | |
| BEDU | Bright Scholar Education | 0.02 | 5 per month | 1.38 | 0.17 | 3.72 | (2.24) | 21.46 | |
| BTCT | BTC Digital | (0.07) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 7.39 | (7.44) | 31.86 | |
| PHH | Park Ha Biological | (0.02) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 11.11 | (7.50) | 40.61 |
Mannatech Incorporated Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Mannatech price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Mannatech using various technical indicators. When you analyze Mannatech charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Mannatech Incorporated Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Mannatech Incorporated stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Mannatech Incorporated, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Mannatech Incorporated based on analysis of Mannatech Incorporated hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Mannatech Incorporated's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Mannatech Incorporated's related companies. | 2023 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | PTB Ratio | 1.44 | 3.38 | 3.21 | Dividend Yield | 0.0495 | 0.0445 | 0.03 |
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Tools for Mannatech Stock Analysis
When running Mannatech Incorporated's price analysis, check to measure Mannatech Incorporated's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mannatech Incorporated is operating at the current time. Most of Mannatech Incorporated's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mannatech Incorporated's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mannatech Incorporated's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mannatech Incorporated to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.