Microvast Holdings Stock Price Prediction

MVSTW Stock  USD 0.11  0.0005  0.45%   
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Microvast Holdings' share price is approaching 43. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Microvast Holdings, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 43

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Microvast Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Microvast Holdings and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Microvast Holdings' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Microvast Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Microvast Holdings' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.216
Using Microvast Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Microvast Holdings from the perspective of Microvast Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Microvast Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Microvast because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Microvast Holdings after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.11  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Microvast Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Microvast Stock please use our How to Invest in Microvast Holdings guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Microvast Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.1113.72
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.1113.72
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.080.120.15
Details

Microvast Holdings After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Microvast Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Microvast Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Microvast Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Microvast Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Microvast Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Microvast Holdings' historical news coverage. Microvast Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 13.72, respectively. We have considered Microvast Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.11
0.11
After-hype Price
13.72
Upside
Microvast Holdings is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Microvast Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

Microvast Holdings Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Microvast Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Microvast Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Microvast Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  1.32 
13.49
  0.04 
  0.22 
8 Events / Month
8 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.11
0.11
3.59 
44,967  
Notes

Microvast Holdings Hype Timeline

Microvast Holdings is now traded for 0.11. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.22. Microvast is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.11 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price increase on the next news is projected to be 3.59%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -1.32%. The volatility of related hype on Microvast Holdings is about 8077.84%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of -0.11. Microvast Holdings has accumulated 328.89 M in total debt. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Microvast Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Microvast Stock please use our How to Invest in Microvast Holdings guide.

Microvast Holdings Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Microvast Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Microvast Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Microvast Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Microvast Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
SKYXSKYX Platforms Corp(0.04)9 per month 4.36  0.15  11.71 (7.17) 31.27 
ULBIUltralife(0.08)11 per month 0.00 (0.05) 5.84 (5.82) 18.64 
DFLIChardan NexTech Acquisition(0.58)7 per month 0.00 (0.15) 13.98 (17.43) 58.61 
PEWGrabAGun Digital Holdings 0.01 8 per month 0.00 (0.15) 4.29 (5.35) 29.97 
CBATCBAK Energy Technology 0.01 10 per month 0.00 (0.16) 3.13 (3.33) 7.92 
RGPResources Connection 0.01 12 per month 3.52  0  4.80 (4.06) 21.08 
SDSTStardust Power 0.01 9 per month 6.49 (0.01) 8.84 (9.77) 26.43 
VOLTTema Electrification ETF(0.01)6 per month 1.33 (0.02) 1.74 (2.15) 5.37 
ESPEspey Mfg Electronics(0.82)7 per month 1.62  0.23  4.38 (2.73) 10.00 
EMLEastern Co(0.18)16 per month 0.00 (0.14) 4.46 (3.27) 10.55 

Microvast Holdings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Microvast price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Microvast using various technical indicators. When you analyze Microvast charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Microvast Holdings Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Microvast Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Microvast Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Microvast Holdings based on analysis of Microvast Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Microvast Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Microvast Holdings's related companies.
 2023 2024 2025 2026 (projected)
Payables Turnover2.214.013.612.62
Days Of Inventory On Hand227.66201.02231.17210.73

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Additional Tools for Microvast Stock Analysis

When running Microvast Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Microvast Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Microvast Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Microvast Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Microvast Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Microvast Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Microvast Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.