Mexco Energy Stock Price Prediction

MXC Stock  USD 11.47  0.37  3.33%   
At the present time, The value of relative strength index of Mexco Energy's share price is at 59. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Mexco Energy, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 59

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Mexco Energy's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Mexco Energy, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Mexco Energy's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.15)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.05
Using Mexco Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Mexco Energy from the perspective of Mexco Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Mexco Energy to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Mexco because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Mexco Energy after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 11.14  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Mexco Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Mexco Stock refer to our How to Trade Mexco Stock guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mexco Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.289.2913.30
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.9911.0015.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.6910.4511.21
Details

Mexco Energy After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Mexco Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Mexco Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Mexco Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Mexco Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Mexco Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Mexco Energy's historical news coverage. Mexco Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.13 and 15.15, respectively. We have considered Mexco Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
11.47
11.14
After-hype Price
15.15
Upside
Mexco Energy is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Mexco Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.

Mexco Energy Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Mexco Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Mexco Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Mexco Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.41 
3.98
  0.04 
  0.02 
8 Events / Month
4 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
11.47
11.14
0.36 
3,980  
Notes

Mexco Energy Hype Timeline

On the 28th of January Mexco Energy is traded for 11.47. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Mexco is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 11.14 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is forecasted to be 0.36%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.41%. The volatility of related hype on Mexco Energy is about 9476.19%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 11.49. The company reported the last year's revenue of 7.36 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 1.71 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 5.87 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Mexco Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Mexco Stock refer to our How to Trade Mexco Stock guide.

Mexco Energy Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Mexco Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Mexco Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how Mexco Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Mexco Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BATLBattalion Oil Corp 0.09 5 per month 3.14  0.12  8.18 (6.98) 23.38 
EONREON Resources 0.02 8 per month 0.00 (0.08) 9.09 (9.76) 22.44 
TMDETMD Energy Limited 0.05 7 per month 6.34  0.04  8.00 (10.87) 160.91 
BANLCBL International Limited(0.04)7 per month 0.00 (0.21) 4.65 (6.78) 23.38 
CKXCKX Lands 0.30 7 per month 2.15  0.01  3.61 (3.43) 13.77 
PNSkycorp Solar Group(0.02)7 per month 0.00 (0.01) 8.33 (7.89) 39.11 
BRNBarnwell Industries(0.05)10 per month 3.50 (0.01) 7.38 (5.74) 19.84 
VIVKVivakor(0.01)9 per month 0.00 (0.29) 16.00 (21.98) 112.20 
TPETTrio Petroleum Corp 0.13 9 per month 0.00 (0.08) 7.32 (6.80) 32.43 
SKYQSky Quarry(0.05)10 per month 8.59  0.06  17.65 (14.29) 125.89 

Mexco Energy Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Mexco price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Mexco using various technical indicators. When you analyze Mexco charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Mexco Energy Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Mexco Energy stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Mexco Energy, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Mexco Energy based on analysis of Mexco Energy hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Mexco Energy's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Mexco Energy's related companies.
 2024 2025 2026 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.01240.01120.0084
Price To Sales Ratio2.292.644.5

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Complementary Tools for Mexco Stock analysis

When running Mexco Energy's price analysis, check to measure Mexco Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mexco Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Mexco Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mexco Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mexco Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mexco Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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