Nasdaq 100 Index Fund Price Patterns
| NASDX Fund | USD 45.54 0.72 1.56% |
Momentum 40
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Nasdaq-100 Index hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Nasdaq 100 Index Fund from the perspective of Nasdaq-100 Index response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Nasdaq-100 Index to buy its mutual fund at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying NASDAQ-100 because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell mutual funds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Nasdaq-100 Index after-hype prediction price | USD 46.28 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
NASDAQ-100 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nasdaq-100 Index's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Nasdaq-100 Index After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Nasdaq-100 Index at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Nasdaq-100 Index or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Nasdaq-100 Index, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Nasdaq-100 Index Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Nasdaq-100 Index's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Nasdaq-100 Index's historical news coverage. Nasdaq-100 Index's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 45.13 and 47.43, respectively. We have considered Nasdaq-100 Index's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Nasdaq-100 Index is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Nasdaq 100 Index is based on 3 months time horizon.
Nasdaq-100 Index Mutual Fund Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Nasdaq-100 Index is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Nasdaq-100 Index backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Nasdaq-100 Index, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 1.15 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 5 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
45.54 | 46.28 | 0.04 |
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Nasdaq-100 Index Hype Timeline
Nasdaq 100 Index is now traded for 45.54. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. NASDAQ-100 is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 46.28 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.04%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.08%. The volatility of related hype on Nasdaq-100 Index is about 766.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 45.53. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Nasdaq-100 Index Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Nasdaq-100 Index Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Nasdaq-100 Index's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Nasdaq-100 Index's future price movements. Getting to know how Nasdaq-100 Index's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Nasdaq-100 Index may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RYHOX | Nasdaq 100 Fund Class | (0.08) | 1 per month | 1.09 | 0.01 | 1.51 | (2.05) | 7.59 | |
| RYATX | Nasdaq 100 Fund Class | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.10 | 0.01 | 1.49 | (2.06) | 7.62 | |
| RYOCX | Nasdaq 100 Fund Investor | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 1.35 | (2.05) | 4.74 | |
| OILVX | Optimum Large Cap | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.27 | 0.13 | 1.16 | (1.02) | 10.39 | |
| DGAGX | Dreyfus Appreciation Fund | (0.03) | 1 per month | 0.32 | 0.10 | 1.00 | (1.22) | 24.62 | |
| HISGX | Harbor Small Cap | (0.07) | 1 per month | 1.10 | 0.05 | 2.05 | (2.06) | 4.59 | |
| TPPAX | T Rowe Price | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.10 | 0.11 | 0.74 | (0.66) | 6.56 | |
| LADVX | Lord Abbett Developing | (1.18) | 3 per month | 1.64 | (0.01) | 2.24 | (2.74) | 7.19 | |
| QUERX | Aqr Large Cap | (0.14) | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.11 | 0.87 | (0.89) | 26.99 | |
| AUENX | Aqr Large Cap | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.80 | (0.89) | 26.80 |
Nasdaq-100 Index Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine NASDAQ-100 price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for NASDAQ-100 using various technical indicators. When you analyze NASDAQ-100 charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Nasdaq-100 Index Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Nasdaq-100 Index stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Nasdaq 100 Index Fund, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Nasdaq-100 Index based on analysis of Nasdaq-100 Index hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Nasdaq-100 Index's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Nasdaq-100 Index's related companies.
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in NASDAQ-100 Mutual Fund
Nasdaq-100 Index financial ratios help investors to determine whether NASDAQ-100 Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in NASDAQ-100 with respect to the benefits of owning Nasdaq-100 Index security.
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