Themes Transatlantic Defense Etf Price Patterns
| NATO Etf | 40.56 0.44 1.07% |
Momentum 69
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Themes Transatlantic hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Themes Transatlantic Defense from the perspective of Themes Transatlantic response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Themes Transatlantic to buy its etf at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Themes because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell etfs at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Themes Transatlantic after-hype prediction price | USD 40.56 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Themes Transatlantic Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Themes Transatlantic's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Themes Transatlantic After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Themes Transatlantic at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Themes Transatlantic or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Themes Transatlantic, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Themes Transatlantic Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Themes Transatlantic's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Themes Transatlantic's historical news coverage. Themes Transatlantic's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 39.41 and 41.71, respectively. We have considered Themes Transatlantic's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Themes Transatlantic is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Themes Transatlantic is based on 3 months time horizon.
Themes Transatlantic Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Themes Transatlantic is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Themes Transatlantic backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Themes Transatlantic, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.14 | 1.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
40.56 | 40.56 | 0.00 |
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Themes Transatlantic Hype Timeline
Themes Transatlantic is now traded for 40.56. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Themes is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.14%. %. The volatility of related hype on Themes Transatlantic is about 4140.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 40.56. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be uncertain. Check out Themes Transatlantic Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Themes Transatlantic Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Themes Transatlantic's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Themes Transatlantic's future price movements. Getting to know how Themes Transatlantic's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Themes Transatlantic may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MISL | First Trust Indxx | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.27 | 0.11 | 2.79 | (2.29) | 7.30 | |
| DUSL | Direxion Daily Industrials | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.69 | 0.14 | 3.95 | (5.06) | 12.81 | |
| NATO | Themes Transatlantic Defense | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.98 | 0.08 | 2.02 | (1.80) | 5.61 | |
| NFRA | FlexShares STOXX Global | (0.05) | 7 per month | 0.44 | 0.08 | 1.02 | (0.90) | 2.22 | |
| NFRX | Harrison Street Infrastructure | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| EUAD | Select STOXX Europe | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.42 | (0.03) | 2.55 | (2.30) | 6.73 | |
| FIDU | Fidelity MSCI Industrials | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.86 | 0.12 | 1.48 | (1.79) | 4.00 | |
| CGW | Invesco SP Global | (0.20) | 2 per month | 0.69 | 0.05 | 1.32 | (0.97) | 4.09 | |
| EXI | iShares Global Industrials | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.74 | 0.13 | 1.36 | (1.31) | 3.71 |
Themes Transatlantic Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Themes price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Themes using various technical indicators. When you analyze Themes charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Themes Transatlantic Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Themes Transatlantic stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Themes Transatlantic Defense, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Themes Transatlantic based on analysis of Themes Transatlantic hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Themes Transatlantic's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Themes Transatlantic's related companies.
Pair Trading with Themes Transatlantic
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Themes Transatlantic position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Themes Transatlantic will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Themes Etf
| 0.86 | XLI | Industrial Select Sector Aggressive Push | PairCorr |
| 0.64 | DRVN | Driven Brands Holdings | PairCorr |
| 0.95 | ITA | iShares Aerospace Defense | PairCorr |
| 0.93 | VIS | Vanguard Industrials | PairCorr |
| 0.68 | JETS | US Global Jets | PairCorr |
| 0.82 | FXR | First Trust Industri | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Themes Transatlantic could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Themes Transatlantic when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Themes Transatlantic - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Themes Transatlantic Defense to buy it.
The correlation of Themes Transatlantic is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Themes Transatlantic moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Themes Transatlantic moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Themes Transatlantic can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Themes Transatlantic Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..
The market value of Themes Transatlantic is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Themes that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Themes Transatlantic's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Themes Transatlantic's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Themes Transatlantic's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Themes Transatlantic's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Themes Transatlantic's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Themes Transatlantic should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Themes Transatlantic's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.