Newcrest Mining Price Prediction

NCMGFDelisted Stock  USD 18.00  0.04  0.22%   
As of 24th of November 2024, The relative strength index (RSI) of Newcrest Mining's share price is at 53. This indicates that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Newcrest Mining, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

53

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Newcrest Mining's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Newcrest Mining and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Newcrest Mining's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Newcrest Mining, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Newcrest Mining hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Newcrest Mining from the perspective of Newcrest Mining response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Newcrest Mining to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Newcrest because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Newcrest Mining after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 18.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.4315.4319.80
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.3118.3118.31
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
17.4018.1418.89
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Newcrest Mining. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Newcrest Mining's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Newcrest Mining's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Newcrest Mining.

Newcrest Mining After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Newcrest Mining at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Newcrest Mining or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Newcrest Mining, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Newcrest Mining Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Newcrest Mining's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Newcrest Mining's historical news coverage. Newcrest Mining's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 18.00 and 18.00, respectively. We have considered Newcrest Mining's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
18.00
18.00
After-hype Price
18.00
Upside
Newcrest Mining is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Newcrest Mining is based on 3 months time horizon.

Newcrest Mining Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Newcrest Mining is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Newcrest Mining backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Newcrest Mining, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
18.00
18.00
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Newcrest Mining Hype Timeline

Newcrest Mining is now traded for 18.00. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Newcrest is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Newcrest Mining is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 18.00. About 59.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.11. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Newcrest Mining last dividend was issued on the 26th of August 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain.
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.

Newcrest Mining Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Newcrest Mining's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Newcrest Mining's future price movements. Getting to know how Newcrest Mining's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Newcrest Mining may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
WDOFFWesdome Gold Mines 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.13) 4.71 (3.83) 13.33 
GDRZFGold Reserve 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.1) 12.35 (10.17) 43.74 
OROsisko Gold Ro 0.35 11 per month 1.71  0.06  2.94 (2.93) 10.04 
IAUXI 80 Gold Corp(0.02)3 per month 0.00 (0.03) 10.28 (4.72) 66.32 
AGDXFAntioquia Gold 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.10  0.00  0.00  100.00 
RMRDFRadisson Mining Resources 0.00 0 per month 4.32  0.07  11.11 (8.70) 35.00 
ASGOFAsante Gold 0.00 0 per month 2.30 (0.05) 4.30 (5.56) 18.34 
BARUFBaru Gold Corp 0.00 0 per month 6.19  0.14  30.19 (11.64) 64.95 
BBSRFBluestone Resources 0.00 0 per month 4.41 (0.02) 10.00 (8.33) 30.95 
CGOLFContact Gold Corp 0.00 0 per month 6.72 (0.01) 11.54 (15.03) 65.19 
ELEMFElemental Royalties Corp 0.00 0 per month 2.61  0.04  6.41 (5.13) 14.56 
ORZCFOrezone Gold Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.11) 5.36 (6.67) 22.11 
TDRRFTudor Gold Corp 0.00 0 per month 3.65 (0.01) 7.79 (5.06) 23.48 
LGDTFLiberty Gold Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.14) 4.76 (6.90) 18.80 
RSRBFRobex Resources 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.13) 1.66 (3.85) 18.74 
ROVMFRover Metals Corp(0.14)10 per month 4.76  0.01  15.79 (13.64) 60.20 
ORFDFOrefinders Resources 0.00 0 per month 3.58  0.07  7.82 (6.99) 25.64 
CTCGFC2C Gold Corp 0.00 0 per month 9.62  0.04  28.34 (20.45) 65.84 
TSRMFTreasury Metals 0.00 0 per month 3.99  0.06  7.14 (6.25) 26.25 

Newcrest Mining Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Newcrest price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Newcrest using various technical indicators. When you analyze Newcrest charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Newcrest Mining Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Newcrest Mining stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Newcrest Mining, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Newcrest Mining based on analysis of Newcrest Mining hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Newcrest Mining's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Newcrest Mining's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Newcrest Mining

The number of cover stories for Newcrest Mining depends on current market conditions and Newcrest Mining's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Newcrest Mining is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Newcrest Mining's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Newcrest Mining Short Properties

Newcrest Mining's future price predictability will typically decrease when Newcrest Mining's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Newcrest Mining often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Newcrest Mining's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Newcrest Mining's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding890.5 M
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.

Other Consideration for investing in Newcrest Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in Newcrest Mining check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Newcrest Mining's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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