Nomura Holdings Adr Stock Price Patterns
| NMR Stock | USD 9.36 0.07 0.75% |
Momentum 65
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.09) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.1755 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.8237 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.7766 | Wall Street Target Price 9.7491 |
Using Nomura Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Nomura Holdings ADR from the perspective of Nomura Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Nomura Holdings using Nomura Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Nomura using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Nomura Holdings' stock price.
Nomura Holdings Short Interest
An investor who is long Nomura Holdings may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Nomura Holdings and may potentially protect profits, hedge Nomura Holdings with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 7.1624 | Short Percent 0.0005 | Short Ratio 1.48 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.8 M | 50 Day MA 8.5122 |
Nomura Holdings ADR Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Nomura Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Nomura. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Nomura can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Nomura Holdings ADR. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Nomura Holdings' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Nomura Holdings.
Nomura Holdings Implied Volatility | 0.75 |
Nomura Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Nomura Holdings ADR stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Nomura Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Nomura Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when Nomura Holdings' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Nomura Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Nomura because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Nomura Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 9.43 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Nomura contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Nomura Holdings ADR will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0469% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Nomura Holdings trading at USD 9.36, that is roughly USD 0.004388 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Nomura Holdings' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Nomura Holdings ADR options at the current volatility level of 0.75%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Nomura Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Nomura Holdings After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Nomura Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Nomura Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Nomura Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Nomura Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Nomura Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Nomura Holdings' historical news coverage. Nomura Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.55 and 11.31, respectively. We have considered Nomura Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Nomura Holdings is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Nomura Holdings ADR is based on 3 months time horizon.
Nomura Holdings Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Nomura Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Nomura Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Nomura Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.43 | 1.88 | 0.01 | 0.09 | 9 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
9.36 | 9.43 | 0.11 |
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Nomura Holdings Hype Timeline
On the 10th of February Nomura Holdings ADR is traded for 9.36. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.09. Nomura is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 9.43. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.11%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.43%. The volatility of related hype on Nomura Holdings is about 911.52%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.45. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.15. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Nomura Holdings ADR has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.85. The entity last dividend was issued on the 30th of September 2025. The firm had 10:1 split on the 17th of December 2001. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Nomura Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Nomura Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Nomura Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Nomura Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Nomura Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Nomura Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TW | Tradeweb Markets | (2.86) | 10 per month | 1.31 | 0.04 | 3.15 | (2.43) | 8.18 | |
| RF | Regions Financial | (0.64) | 11 per month | 0.81 | 0.21 | 3.11 | (1.71) | 6.55 | |
| BAP | Credicorp | 7.00 | 12 per month | 1.15 | 0.25 | 2.58 | (2.35) | 8.60 | |
| KEY | KeyCorp | 0.46 | 8 per month | 0.62 | 0.27 | 2.76 | (1.44) | 5.63 | |
| HBAN | Huntington Bancshares Incorporated | 0.09 | 8 per month | 1.27 | 0.16 | 3.38 | (2.12) | 10.36 | |
| CFG | Citizens Financial Group | 1.83 | 8 per month | 0.79 | 0.22 | 2.99 | (1.80) | 9.61 | |
| TROW | T Rowe Price | (3.83) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.48 | (3.74) | 8.58 | |
| L | Loews Corp | (0.40) | 10 per month | 0.60 | 0.06 | 1.82 | (1.37) | 3.68 |
Nomura Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Nomura price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Nomura using various technical indicators. When you analyze Nomura charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Nomura Holdings Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Nomura Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Nomura Holdings ADR, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Nomura Holdings based on analysis of Nomura Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Nomura Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Nomura Holdings's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0216 | 0.0419 | 0.0377 | 0.0198 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.7 | 0.57 | 0.65 | 0.62 |
Pair Trading with Nomura Holdings
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Nomura Holdings position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Nomura Holdings will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Nomura Stock
Moving against Nomura Stock
| 0.72 | FSTF | First State Financial | PairCorr |
| 0.69 | FRNT | FRNT Financial | PairCorr |
| 0.69 | MIR | Mirrabooka Investments | PairCorr |
| 0.64 | T2G | Tradegate AG Wertpap | PairCorr |
| 0.62 | HFC | Hampton Financial Corp | PairCorr |
| 0.34 | QCH | Computershare Limited Earnings Call Today | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Nomura Holdings could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Nomura Holdings when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Nomura Holdings - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Nomura Holdings ADR to buy it.
The correlation of Nomura Holdings is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Nomura Holdings moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Nomura Holdings ADR moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Nomura Holdings can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for Nomura Stock Analysis
When running Nomura Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Nomura Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nomura Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Nomura Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nomura Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nomura Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nomura Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.