North American Construction Stock Price Prediction
| NOA Stock | CAD 28.02 0.41 1.44% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
65
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.196 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.23 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.6751 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.362 | Wall Street Target Price 35.875 |
Using North American hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of North American Construction from the perspective of North American response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in North American to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying North because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
North American after-hype prediction price | CAD 27.87 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
North |
North American After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of North American at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in North American or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of North American, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
North American Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting North American's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on North American's historical news coverage. North American's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 25.14 and 30.60, respectively. We have considered North American's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
North American is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of North American Const is based on 3 months time horizon.
North American Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as North American is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading North American backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with North American, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.19 | 2.73 | 0.15 | 0.01 | 4 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
28.02 | 27.87 | 0.54 |
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North American Hype Timeline
North American Const is now traded for 28.02on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.15, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. North is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 27.87. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price drop on the next news is expected to be -0.54%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.19%. The volatility of related hype on North American is about 8531.25%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 28.03. About 79.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.95. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. North American Const last dividend was issued on the 27th of November 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days. Check out North American Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.North American Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to North American's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict North American's future price movements. Getting to know how North American's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how North American may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PHX | PHX Energy Services | (0.14) | 2 per month | 1.76 | (0.05) | 2.90 | (2.65) | 9.81 | |
| CEU | CES Energy Solutions | 0.1 | 3 per month | 2.41 | 0.10 | 4.51 | (3.44) | 13.44 | |
| TOT | Total Energy Services | 0.11 | 4 per month | 0.95 | 0.17 | 2.78 | (1.91) | 11.41 | |
| PSI | Pason Systems | 0.04 | 2 per month | 1.45 | (0.01) | 2.46 | (2.46) | 9.97 | |
| MTL | Mullen Group | 0.05 | 3 per month | 0.86 | 0.01 | 2.14 | (1.62) | 10.97 |
North American Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine North price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for North using various technical indicators. When you analyze North charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About North American Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of North American stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as North American Construction, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of North American based on analysis of North American hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to North American's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to North American's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.00679 | 0.0126 | 0.0151 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.83 |
Story Coverage note for North American
The number of cover stories for North American depends on current market conditions and North American's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that North American is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about North American's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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North American Short Properties
North American's future price predictability will typically decrease when North American's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of North American Construction often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential North American's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. North American's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 33 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 88.6 M |
Check out North American Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.