Nu Skin Enterprises Stock Price Patterns

NUS Stock  USD 10.61  0.03  0.28%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Nu Skin's stock price is slightly above 60. This indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling NUS, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 60

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Nu Skin's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Nu Skin and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Nu Skin's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Nu Skin Enterprises, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Nu Skin's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.036
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.33
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.3
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.42
Wall Street Target Price
7.5
Using Nu Skin hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Nu Skin Enterprises from the perspective of Nu Skin response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Nu Skin using Nu Skin's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards NUS using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Nu Skin's stock price.

Nu Skin Short Interest

An investor who is long Nu Skin may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Nu Skin and may potentially protect profits, hedge Nu Skin with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
8.8088
Short Percent
0.0476
Short Ratio
5.59
Shares Short Prior Month
2.3 M
50 Day MA
11.1564

Nu Skin Enterprises Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Nu Skin's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in NUS. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding NUS can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Nu Skin Enterprises. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Nu Skin's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Nu Skin.

Nu Skin Implied Volatility

    
  1.42  
Nu Skin's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Nu Skin Enterprises stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Nu Skin's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Nu Skin stock will not fluctuate a lot when Nu Skin's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Nu Skin to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying NUS because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Nu Skin after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 10.63  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current NUS contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Nu Skin Enterprises will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0888% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Nu Skin trading at USD 10.61, that is roughly USD 0.009416 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Nu Skin's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Nu Skin Enterprises options at the current volatility level of 1.42%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Nu Skin Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nu Skin's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.898.1411.39
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.519.7613.01
Details
0 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
6.837.508.33
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.350.350.35
Details

Nu Skin After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Nu Skin at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Nu Skin or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Nu Skin, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Nu Skin Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Nu Skin's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Nu Skin's historical news coverage. Nu Skin's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.38 and 13.88, respectively. We have considered Nu Skin's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
10.61
10.63
After-hype Price
13.88
Upside
Nu Skin is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Nu Skin Enterprises is based on 3 months time horizon.

Nu Skin Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Nu Skin is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Nu Skin backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Nu Skin, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.07 
3.27
  0.02 
  0.02 
6 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
10.61
10.63
0.19 
934.29  
Notes

Nu Skin Hype Timeline

On the 2nd of February Nu Skin Enterprises is traded for 10.61. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. NUS is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 10.63 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 0.19%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.07%. The volatility of related hype on Nu Skin is about 1466.37%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.63. The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.73 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (146.59 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.09 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 6 days.
Check out Nu Skin Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Nu Skin Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Nu Skin's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Nu Skin's future price movements. Getting to know how Nu Skin's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Nu Skin may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
HELEHelen of Troy 1.28 7 per month 0.00 (0.10) 4.33 (4.73) 13.25 
BYNDBeyond Meat 0.06 8 per month 0.00 (0.14) 11.83 (9.82) 45.83 
MGPIMGP Ingredients(0.28)8 per month 2.05  0.03  3.56 (4.14) 12.18 
VLGEAVillage Super Market 0.32 8 per month 1.19  0.09  2.83 (2.07) 7.68 
ABVEAbove Food Ingredients 0.62 9 per month 0.00 (0.08) 14.07 (15.33) 52.76 
VSTAVasta Platform(0.03)8 per month 0.00 (0.03) 1.42 (1.61) 11.44 
APEIAmerican Public Education 0.39 11 per month 1.66  0.10  5.11 (3.34) 10.54 
LINCLincoln Educational Services(0.75)9 per month 2.77  0.08  5.32 (4.53) 20.71 
OTLYOatly Group AB(0.02)7 per month 0.00 (0.15) 4.77 (5.66) 16.31 
QSGQuantaSing Group Limited 0.64 4 per month 0.00 (0.18) 6.26 (6.49) 16.19 

Nu Skin Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine NUS price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for NUS using various technical indicators. When you analyze NUS charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Nu Skin Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Nu Skin stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Nu Skin Enterprises, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Nu Skin based on analysis of Nu Skin hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Nu Skin's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Nu Skin's related companies.
 2023 2024 2025 2026 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.08040.03490.03140.0206
Price To Sales Ratio0.490.20.230.22

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Additional Tools for NUS Stock Analysis

When running Nu Skin's price analysis, check to measure Nu Skin's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nu Skin is operating at the current time. Most of Nu Skin's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nu Skin's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nu Skin's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nu Skin to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.