Newell Rubbermaid Stock Price Patterns
| NWL Stock | USD 4.63 0.11 2.43% |
Momentum 72
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.015 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.03) | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.565 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.6698 | Wall Street Target Price 5.0625 |
Using Newell Rubbermaid hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Newell Rubbermaid from the perspective of Newell Rubbermaid response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Newell Rubbermaid using Newell Rubbermaid's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Newell using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Newell Rubbermaid's stock price.
Newell Rubbermaid Short Interest
An investor who is long Newell Rubbermaid may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Newell Rubbermaid and may potentially protect profits, hedge Newell Rubbermaid with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 4.9036 | Short Percent 0.1544 | Short Ratio 7.13 | Shares Short Prior Month 39 M | 50 Day MA 3.9796 |
Newell Rubbermaid Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Newell Rubbermaid's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Newell. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Newell can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Newell Rubbermaid. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Newell Rubbermaid's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Newell Rubbermaid.
Newell Rubbermaid Implied Volatility | 1.29 |
Newell Rubbermaid's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Newell Rubbermaid stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Newell Rubbermaid's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Newell Rubbermaid stock will not fluctuate a lot when Newell Rubbermaid's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Newell Rubbermaid to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Newell because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Newell Rubbermaid after-hype prediction price | USD 4.68 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Newell contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Newell Rubbermaid will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0806% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Newell Rubbermaid trading at USD 4.63, that is roughly USD 0.003733 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Newell Rubbermaid's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Newell Rubbermaid options at the current volatility level of 1.29%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Newell Rubbermaid Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Newell Rubbermaid's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Newell Rubbermaid After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Newell Rubbermaid at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Newell Rubbermaid or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Newell Rubbermaid, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Newell Rubbermaid Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Newell Rubbermaid's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Newell Rubbermaid's historical news coverage. Newell Rubbermaid's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.57 and 6.79, respectively. We have considered Newell Rubbermaid's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Newell Rubbermaid is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Newell Rubbermaid is based on 3 months time horizon.
Newell Rubbermaid Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Newell Rubbermaid is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Newell Rubbermaid backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Newell Rubbermaid, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.63 | 2.11 | 0.05 | 0.03 | 11 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
4.63 | 4.68 | 1.08 |
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Newell Rubbermaid Hype Timeline
On the 8th of February Newell Rubbermaid is traded for 4.63. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. Newell is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 4.68 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 1.08%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.63%. The volatility of related hype on Newell Rubbermaid is about 3907.41%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.60. The company reported the last year's revenue of 7.2 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (285 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 2.43 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Newell Rubbermaid Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Newell Rubbermaid Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Newell Rubbermaid's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Newell Rubbermaid's future price movements. Getting to know how Newell Rubbermaid's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Newell Rubbermaid may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SPB | Spectrum Brands Holdings | 1.24 | 10 per month | 1.41 | 0.18 | 5.01 | (2.75) | 13.62 | |
| COUR | Coursera | (0.76) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 3.25 | (4.25) | 14.34 | |
| IMKTA | Ingles Markets Incorporated | (1.60) | 8 per month | 1.15 | 0.12 | 3.08 | (2.15) | 7.33 | |
| PXED | Phoenix Education Partners | 1.84 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 6.27 | (6.69) | 19.88 | |
| AFYA | Afya | 0.08 | 8 per month | 1.69 | 0.04 | 2.32 | (2.99) | 6.95 | |
| VITL | Vital Farms | (1.62) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.50 | (5.75) | 22.88 | |
| DAO | Youdao Inc | (0.46) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 6.96 | (5.06) | 16.06 | |
| UVV | Universal | 0.22 | 9 per month | 0.83 | 0.11 | 2.06 | (1.45) | 8.15 | |
| DOLE | Dole PLC | 0.19 | 11 per month | 1.05 | 0.22 | 2.35 | (1.55) | 8.95 | |
| GO | Grocery Outlet Holding | 0.33 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 3.49 | (4.94) | 11.13 |
Newell Rubbermaid Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Newell price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Newell using various technical indicators. When you analyze Newell charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Newell Rubbermaid Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Newell Rubbermaid stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Newell Rubbermaid, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Newell Rubbermaid based on analysis of Newell Rubbermaid hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Newell Rubbermaid's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Newell Rubbermaid's related companies. | 2023 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0512 | 0.0771 | 0.081 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.44 | 0.22 | 0.21 |
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Try AI Portfolio ProphetCheck out Newell Rubbermaid Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Newell Stock please use our How to buy in Newell Stock guide.You can also try the Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.
Is Housewares & Specialties space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Newell Rubbermaid. Anticipated expansion of Newell directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Newell Rubbermaid assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.015 | Dividend Share 0.28 | Earnings Share (0.68) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.03) |
Investors evaluate Newell Rubbermaid using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Newell Rubbermaid's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Newell Rubbermaid's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Newell Rubbermaid's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Newell Rubbermaid should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Newell Rubbermaid's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.