Nxg Nextgen Infrastructure Stock Price Prediction
| NXG Stock | USD 49.97 0.50 1.01% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
80
Oversold | Overbought |
Using NXG NextGen hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of NXG NextGen Infrastructure from the perspective of NXG NextGen response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in NXG NextGen to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying NXG because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
NXG NextGen after-hype prediction price | USD 49.43 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
NXG |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of NXG NextGen's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
NXG NextGen After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of NXG NextGen at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in NXG NextGen or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of NXG NextGen, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
NXG NextGen Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting NXG NextGen's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on NXG NextGen's historical news coverage. NXG NextGen's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 48.32 and 50.54, respectively. We have considered NXG NextGen's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
NXG NextGen is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of NXG NextGen Infrastr is based on 3 months time horizon.
NXG NextGen Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as NXG NextGen is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading NXG NextGen backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with NXG NextGen, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.42 | 1.12 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 6 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
49.97 | 49.43 | 0.08 |
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NXG NextGen Hype Timeline
On the 26th of November NXG NextGen Infrastr is traded for 49.97. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. NXG is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 49.43. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.08%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.42%. The volatility of related hype on NXG NextGen is about 18666.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 49.97. About 44.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.14. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. NXG NextGen Infrastr last dividend was issued on the 14th of November 2023. The entity had 1:4 split on the 15th of June 2020. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 6 days. Check out NXG NextGen Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.NXG NextGen Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to NXG NextGen's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict NXG NextGen's future price movements. Getting to know how NXG NextGen's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how NXG NextGen may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PWUP | PowerUp Acquisition Corp | 0.00 | 3 per month | 2.43 | (0.02) | 4.50 | (4.59) | 20.77 | |
| AUROW | Aurora Innovation | (0.05) | 3 per month | 7.73 | 0.20 | 26.47 | (11.84) | 99.11 | |
| 444859BR2 | HUMANA INC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 5.93 | (4.56) | 16.62 | |
| AQUI | Aquagold International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| BRRAY | Barloworld Ltd ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 0.00 | (2.98) | 34.02 | |
| MSTSX | Morningstar Unconstrained Allocation | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.50 | (0.13) | 1.21 | (1.02) | 2.80 | |
| ABHYX | High Yield Municipal Fund | (0.01) | 1 per month | 0.26 | (0.41) | 0.34 | (0.33) | 1.91 | |
| LBHIX | Thrivent High Yield | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.60) | 0.24 | (0.24) | 0.96 | |
| SCAXF | Sparta Capital | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 23.47 | |
| VIASP | Via Renewables | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.05 | (0.02) | 2.28 | (1.15) | 7.18 |
NXG NextGen Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine NXG price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for NXG using various technical indicators. When you analyze NXG charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About NXG NextGen Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of NXG NextGen stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as NXG NextGen Infrastructure, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of NXG NextGen based on analysis of NXG NextGen hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to NXG NextGen's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to NXG NextGen's related companies. | 2020 | 2022 (projected) | PTB Ratio | 0.85 | 0.8 | Dividend Yield | 0.0568 | 0.12 |
Story Coverage note for NXG NextGen
The number of cover stories for NXG NextGen depends on current market conditions and NXG NextGen's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that NXG NextGen is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about NXG NextGen's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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NXG NextGen Short Properties
NXG NextGen's future price predictability will typically decrease when NXG NextGen's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of NXG NextGen Infrastructure often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential NXG NextGen's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NXG NextGen's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 9.8 M |
Complementary Tools for NXG Stock analysis
When running NXG NextGen's price analysis, check to measure NXG NextGen's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NXG NextGen is operating at the current time. Most of NXG NextGen's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NXG NextGen's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NXG NextGen's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NXG NextGen to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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| Headlines Timeline Stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity |