Nexpoint Residential Trust Stock Price Patterns
| NXRT Stock | USD 30.49 0.62 2.08% |
Momentum 54
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.718 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.36) | EPS Estimate Current Year (1.25) | EPS Estimate Next Year (1.46) | Wall Street Target Price 32.8 |
Using Nexpoint Residential hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Nexpoint Residential Trust from the perspective of Nexpoint Residential response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Nexpoint Residential using Nexpoint Residential's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Nexpoint using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Nexpoint Residential's stock price.
Nexpoint Residential Short Interest
An investor who is long Nexpoint Residential may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Nexpoint Residential and may potentially protect profits, hedge Nexpoint Residential with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 32.5626 | Short Percent 0.05 | Short Ratio 2.93 | Shares Short Prior Month 592.7 K | 50 Day MA 30.191 |
Nexpoint Residential Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Nexpoint Residential's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Nexpoint. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Nexpoint can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Nexpoint Residential Trust. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Nexpoint Residential's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Nexpoint Residential.
Nexpoint Residential Implied Volatility | 0.71 |
Nexpoint Residential's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Nexpoint Residential Trust stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Nexpoint Residential's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Nexpoint Residential stock will not fluctuate a lot when Nexpoint Residential's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Nexpoint Residential to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Nexpoint because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Nexpoint Residential after-hype prediction price | USD 29.87 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Nexpoint contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Nexpoint Residential Trust will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0444% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With Nexpoint Residential trading at USD 30.49, that is roughly USD 0.0135 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Nexpoint Residential's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Nexpoint Residential Trust options at the current volatility level of 0.71%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Nexpoint Residential Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Nexpoint Residential After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Nexpoint Residential at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Nexpoint Residential or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Nexpoint Residential, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Nexpoint Residential Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Nexpoint Residential's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Nexpoint Residential's historical news coverage. Nexpoint Residential's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 28.25 and 31.49, respectively. We have considered Nexpoint Residential's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Nexpoint Residential is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Nexpoint Residential is based on 3 months time horizon.
Nexpoint Residential Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Nexpoint Residential is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Nexpoint Residential backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Nexpoint Residential, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.03 | 1.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
30.49 | 29.87 | 0.00 |
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Nexpoint Residential Hype Timeline
Nexpoint Residential is now traded for 30.49. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Nexpoint is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on Nexpoint Residential is about 1230.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 30.49. About 13.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Nexpoint Residential was now reported as 12.73. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 127.96. Nexpoint Residential recorded a loss per share of 1.92. The entity last dividend was issued on the 15th of December 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Nexpoint Residential Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Nexpoint Residential Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Nexpoint Residential's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Nexpoint Residential's future price movements. Getting to know how Nexpoint Residential's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Nexpoint Residential may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BFS | Saul Centers | 0.10 | 8 per month | 1.01 | 0.1 | 1.78 | (1.75) | 4.95 | |
| RWT | Redwood Trust | 0.10 | 9 per month | 1.87 | 0 | 3.26 | (2.82) | 11.67 | |
| MITT | AG Mortgage Investment | (0.01) | 5 per month | 1.04 | 0.19 | 2.80 | (1.38) | 10.88 | |
| MITP | AG Mortgage Investment | 0.04 | 8 per month | 0.27 | 0 | 0.32 | (0.28) | 4.46 | |
| AIV | Apartment Investment and | 0.04 | 7 per month | 0.79 | 0.02 | 1.89 | (1.19) | 8.03 | |
| BRSP | Brightspire Capital | (0.01) | 7 per month | 0.72 | 0.18 | 2.33 | (1.61) | 5.09 | |
| CSR | Centerspace | (0.98) | 7 per month | 1.06 | 0.06 | 2.31 | (2.11) | 15.00 | |
| CTO | CTO Realty Growth | (0.45) | 8 per month | 0.93 | 0.09 | 1.73 | (1.72) | 4.98 | |
| FBRT | Franklin BSP Realty | (0.03) | 10 per month | 1.21 | (0.02) | 2.09 | (1.56) | 4.88 |
Nexpoint Residential Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Nexpoint price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Nexpoint using various technical indicators. When you analyze Nexpoint charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Nexpoint Residential Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Nexpoint Residential stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Nexpoint Residential Trust, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Nexpoint Residential based on analysis of Nexpoint Residential hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Nexpoint Residential's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Nexpoint Residential's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0507 | 0.0463 | 0.0417 | 0.0282 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.18 | 4.1 | 4.72 | 4.48 |
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Additional Tools for Nexpoint Stock Analysis
When running Nexpoint Residential's price analysis, check to measure Nexpoint Residential's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nexpoint Residential is operating at the current time. Most of Nexpoint Residential's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nexpoint Residential's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nexpoint Residential's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nexpoint Residential to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.