Obducat AB (Germany) Price Prediction
| OBD Stock | EUR 0.10 0.02 16.67% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
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Oversold | Overbought |
Using Obducat AB hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Obducat AB from the perspective of Obducat AB response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Obducat AB to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Obducat because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Obducat AB after-hype prediction price | EUR 0.1 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Obducat |
Obducat AB After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Obducat AB at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Obducat AB or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Obducat AB, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Obducat AB Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Obducat AB's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Obducat AB's historical news coverage. Obducat AB's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 2.15, respectively. We have considered Obducat AB's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Obducat AB is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Obducat AB is based on 3 months time horizon.
Obducat AB Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Obducat AB is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Obducat AB backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Obducat AB, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.26 | 2.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.10 | 0.10 | 0.00 |
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Obducat AB Hype Timeline
Obducat AB is now traded for 0.10on Munich Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Obducat is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.26%. %. The volatility of related hype on Obducat AB is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.10. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Obducat AB had 1:80 split on the 7th of July 2010. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Obducat AB Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Obducat AB Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Obducat AB's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Obducat AB's future price movements. Getting to know how Obducat AB's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Obducat AB may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ZSL | SLR Investment Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.71 | 0.08 | 1.87 | (1.30) | 6.48 | |
| FOO0 | SALESFORCE INC CDR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.96 | 0.16 | 4.02 | (1.95) | 14.31 | |
| WE7 | Evolution Mining Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.58 | 0.09 | 3.59 | (2.48) | 10.84 | |
| P4Q | Perseus Mining Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.27 | 0.02 | 3.85 | (3.61) | 14.33 | |
| GNU1 | Genco Shipping Trading | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.49 | (0.01) | 3.27 | (2.79) | 8.47 | |
| 3YB | Postal Savings Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.89 | 0.02 | 4.35 | (3.85) | 17.99 | |
| US8 | MCEWEN MINING INC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.19 | (0.04) | 5.52 | (5.52) | 20.89 | |
| BOQ | BOS BETTER ONLINE | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Obducat AB Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Obducat price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Obducat using various technical indicators. When you analyze Obducat charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About Obducat AB Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Obducat AB stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Obducat AB, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Obducat AB based on analysis of Obducat AB hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Obducat AB's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Obducat AB's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Obducat AB
The number of cover stories for Obducat AB depends on current market conditions and Obducat AB's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Obducat AB is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Obducat AB's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Obducat AB Short Properties
Obducat AB's future price predictability will typically decrease when Obducat AB's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Obducat AB often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Obducat AB's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Obducat AB's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 142.5 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 16.4 M |
Additional Tools for Obducat Stock Analysis
When running Obducat AB's price analysis, check to measure Obducat AB's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Obducat AB is operating at the current time. Most of Obducat AB's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Obducat AB's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Obducat AB's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Obducat AB to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.